Result
2:1
17/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 75% | 43% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (50/80) | 64% (27/42) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 53% (29/55) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 40% (4/10) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (15/42) | 38% (30/80) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (26/55) | 52% (14/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 56% (5/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (63/107) | 58% (56/97) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (41/97) | 41% (44/107) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (104/204) | 49% (100/204) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 63% (10/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 31% (5/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (17/32) | 47% (15/32) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Sorger
25.7% | Jozef Kovalik
74.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Sorger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Sorger's form might have worsened.Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jozef Kovalik's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Sorger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jozef Kovalik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sebastian Sorger - Jozef Kovalik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(2.62) |
|
1.26 ↓
(1.44) |
7.8%
(7.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Sorger - Jozef Kovalik?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Sorger will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Kovalik will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kovalik: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Sorger is ranked ATP: 632. Kovalik is ranked ATP: 515.
- In recent matches, Sorger has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kovalik is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Sorger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Kovalik will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Kovalik will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Sorger won against Jozef Kovalik?
Sebastian Sorger has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jozef Kovalik won against Sebastian Sorger?
Jozef Kovalik has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Sorger - Jozef Kovalik were as follows:
Latest results of Sebastian Sorger
Latest results of Jozef Kovalik
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Martinez P. (RET.) (1) | Topo M. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Choinski J. | Sachko V. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Pavlovic L. | Paroulek T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Passaro F. | Lajovic D. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Tirante T. A. (4) | Piraino G. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Dodig M. (Alt) | Kolar Z. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Monteiro T. | Merida Aguilar D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Gaubas V. | Burruchaga R. A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Galan D. E. (7) | Diaz Acosta F. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Moeller M. (LL) | Barton H. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Ymer E. (Alt) | Kopp S. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Novak D. (Q) | Carballes Baena R. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | Neumayer L. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Sorger S. (WC) | Kovalik J. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Stebe C. (LL) | Schwaerzler J. J. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Seyboth Wild T. | Kopriva V. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Topo M. | Choinski J. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Pavlovic L. | Passaro F. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Piraino G. | Kolar Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Monteiro T. | Burruchaga R. A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Diaz Acosta F. | Barton H. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Kopp S. | Carballes Baena R. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | Sorger S. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Kopriva V. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Choinski J. | Passaro F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kolar Z. | Burruchaga R. A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Barton H. | Carballes Baena R. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | Kopriva V. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Choinski J. | Kolar Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Kopriva V. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Choinski J. | Kopriva V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
