Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Sebastian Sorger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Santa Margherita Di Pula 8 Men Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Sebastian Sorger
Result
2:1
24/09/2024 at 06:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8 (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Max Games In Row
124

Chances of winning


Oleksandr Ovcharenko
56.7%
Sebastian Sorger
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.2% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oleksandr Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oleksandr Ovcharenko's form might have worsened.
  • Sebastian Sorger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Sorger's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oleksandr Ovcharenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Sorger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Sebastian Sorger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.48)

    2.13
    (2.44)
    8.3%
    (8.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 418. Sorger is ranked ATP: 588.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Sorger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Ovcharenko will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Ovcharenko won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Sebastian Sorger were as follows:
    23.03.2024 Sebastian Sorger - Oleksandr Ovcharenko 0:2
    Latest results of Oleksandr Ovcharenko
    Latest results of Sebastian Sorger
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Bailly G. A. (1)Ferrari G.2 : 0
    2Sciahbasi L. (RET.)Iannaccone F.0 : 0
    3Overmyer K.Rahmani K.0 : 2
    4Rossi L.Krutykh O. (5)0 : 2
    5Berrettini J. (4)Borsoi J.2 : 0
    6Cocola S.Mazzola F.2 : 1
    7Bilardo J.Toffanin N.2 : 0
    8Valletta L.Weis A. (6)0 : 2
    9Compagnucci T. (7)de Marchi A.2 : 1
    10Handel T.Romano F.0 : 2
    11Mura M.Bove F.0 : 2
    12Oradini G.Bielinskyi V. (3)2 : 0
    13Wenger D. (8)Petkovic M.0 : 2
    14Ribecai M.Rapagnetta D.2 : 0
    15Tabacco G.Bocci F.2 : 0
    16Lapsansky A.Michalski D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Bailly G. A. (1)Iannaccone F.0 : 2
    2Rahmani K.Krutykh O. (5)0 : 2
    3Berrettini J. (4)Cocola S.2 : 0
    4Bilardo J.Weis A. (6)2 : 0
    5Compagnucci T. (7)Romano F.2 : 0
    6Bove F.Oradini G.0 : 2
    7Petkovic M.Ribecai M.1 : 2
    8Tabacco G.Michalski D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Iannaccone F.Krutykh O. (5)0 : 2
    2Berrettini J. (4)Bilardo J.2 : 1
    3Compagnucci T. (7)Oradini G. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Ribecai M.Michalski D. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Krutykh O. (5)Berrettini J. (4)0 : 2
    2Compagnucci T. (7)Michalski D. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Berrettini J. (4)Michalski D. (2)