Perpignan vs Section Paloise – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
40:24
22/02/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Top 14 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCANAL+ Sport

Match Stats

Tries
53
Conversion goals
33
Conversion goal attempts
00
Penalty goals
31
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
00
Metres run with ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (30 - 17)
  • 4', Duguivalu A. (Try),
  • 5', Urdapilleta B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 7', Montoya J. (Try),
  • 8', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 11', Tanguy M. (Try),
  • 18', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 20', Joseph J. (Try),
  • 22', Urdapilleta B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Urdapilleta B. (Penalty Goal),
  • 34', Urdapilleta B. (Penalty Goal),
  • 35', Joseph J. (Try),
  • 40+2', Grandidier-Nkanang A. (Try),
  • 40+2', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 7)
  • 50', Urdapilleta B. (Penalty Goal),
  • 74', Gorgadze B. (Try),
  • 75', Arfeuil G. (Conversion Goal),
  • 78', Velarte L. (Try),
  • 79', Reus H. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Perpignan
51.6%
Draw
4.5%
Section Paloise
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 5.7% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 5.7% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perpignan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Perpignan - Section Paloise Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.81)
    20.75
    (16.52)
    2.09
    (2.22)
    8.8%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Perpignan - Section Paloise?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 46.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 45.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Perpignan will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:22.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Top 14 (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perpignan won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Perpignan could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Perpignan will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Perpignan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 261:313. (average 20.1:24.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Perpignan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 144:150. (average 24:25).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Perpignan - Section Paloise were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Section Paloise - Perpignan 27:23
    22.02.2025 Section Paloise - Perpignan 23:6
    05.10.2024 Perpignan - Section Paloise 11:10
    08.06.2024 Section Paloise - Perpignan 36:24
    29.10.2023 Perpignan - Section Paloise 24:39
    Latest results of Perpignan
    31.01.2026 Racing Métro - Perpignan 37:31
    24.01.2026 Perpignan - Montauban 31:8
    17.01.2026 Perpignan - Lions 20:20
    03.01.2026 Perpignan - Toulouse 30:27
    Latest results of Section Paloise
    01.02.2026 Section Paloise - Toulon 32:12
    24.01.2026 Toulouse - Section Paloise 59:22
    16.01.2026 Section Paloise - Blue Bulls 24:26
    03.01.2026 Lyon - Section Paloise 22:17
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Stade Toulousain181404730:36567
    2Section Paloise181206558:47755
    3Montpellier181017561:39053
    4Clermont181107596:46751
    5Bordeaux Begles181008591:48350
    6Stade Francais Paris18918513:44849
    7RC Toulonnais18918465:53645
    8Racing 92181017514:55845
    9Castres Olympique18909431:50142
    10Stade Rochelais188010551:48741
    11Lyon18819521:50239
    12Aviron Bayonnais188010467:59536
    13USA Perpignan184014344:51118
    14Montauban181116338:8607

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2