Result
25:21
17/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | Canal+ Live 2, Canal+ Live 3 |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (20 - 0)
- 10', Kaulashvili L. (Try),
- 10', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 13', Daubagna T. (Penalty Goal),
- 26', Gailleton E. (Try),
- 26', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 39', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (5 - 21)
- 48', Manu T. (Try),
- 56', Jaminet M. (Try),
- 56', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
- 58', Villiere G. (Try),
- 58', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Sinckler K. (Try),
- 75', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Section Paloise
62.4% | Draw
4.3% | Toulon
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Section Paloise's performance.Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Section Paloise - Toulon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.65) |
21.74 ↑
(20) |
2.78 ↑
(2.15) |
8.3%
(12.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 53.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Section Paloise - Toulon?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:25.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 1.
- Recent form of Section Paloise has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Toulon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Toulon has had a series of home games.
- Section Paloise could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 314:500. (average 17.4:27.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Section Paloise won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 173:194. (average 19.2:21.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Section Paloise won against Toulon?
Section Paloise has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulon won against Section Paloise?
Toulon has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Section Paloise - Toulon were as follows:
21.12.2024
Toulon
-
Section Paloise
56:25
24.02.2024
Section Paloise
-
Toulon
17:9
02.12.2023
Toulon
-
Section Paloise
36:13
28.01.2023
Toulon
-
Section Paloise
27:16
01.10.2022
Section Paloise
-
Toulon
17:34
Latest results of Section Paloise
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Aviron Bayonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Castres Olympique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montauban | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | USA Perpignan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | RC Toulonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Stade Toulousain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Racing 92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Stade Rochelais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bordeaux Begles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Section Paloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
