Result
30:26
18/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
France | CANAL+ France |
United-kingdom | FloSports app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (13 - 20)
- 3', Marchand J. (Try),
- 5', Kinghorn B. (Conversion Goal),
- 12', Capuozzo A. (Try),
- 13', Kinghorn B. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', Grandidier A. (Try),
- 15', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 23', Kinghorn B. (Penalty Goal),
- 26', Jelonch A. 🟨,
- 34', Kinghorn B. (Penalty Goal),
- 38', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (17 - 6)
- 47', Kinghorn B. (Penalty Goal),
- 47', Grandidier A. (Try),
- 48', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 73', Kinghorn B. (Penalty Goal),
- 80+1', Maximin J. (Try),
- 80+1', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Section Paloise 40.6% | Draw 4.3% | Toulouse 55% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Section Paloise - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.35 ↓ (2.89) |
21.36 ↑ (18) |
1.64 ↑ (1.45) |
8.4% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 58.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Toulouse might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 288:529. (average 15.2:27.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Section Paloise won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 149:146. (average 16.6:16.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Section Paloise won against Toulouse?
Section Paloise has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Section Paloise?
Toulouse has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Section Paloise - Toulouse were as follows:
29.03.2025
Toulouse
-
Section Paloise
55:10
19.10.2024
Section Paloise
-
Toulouse
14:22
30.03.2024
Toulouse
-
Section Paloise
31:29
05.11.2023
Section Paloise
-
Toulouse
13:9
25.02.2023
Toulouse
-
Section Paloise
34:10
Latest results of Section Paloise
Latest results of Toulouse
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 532:281 | 47 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 424:327 | 46 |
| 3 | RC Toulonnais | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 396:364 | 39 |
| 4 | Stade Francais Paris | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 389:327 | 34 |
| 5 | Bordeaux Begles | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 396:343 | 34 |
| 6 | Aviron Bayonnais | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 374:410 | 34 |
| 7 | Racing 92 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 364:354 | 33 |
| 8 | Castres Olympique | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 317:347 | 33 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 344:281 | 33 |
| 10 | Stade Rochelais | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 370:342 | 31 |
| 11 | Clermont | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 435:364 | 31 |
| 12 | Lyon | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 335:401 | 23 |
| 13 | Montauban | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 270:623 | 7 |
| 14 | USA Perpignan | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 191:373 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2