Result
59:22
24/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1 |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (40 - 15)
- 4', Brau-Boirie F. (Try),
- 10', Aldegheri D. (Try),
- 15', Brennan J. (Try),
- 15', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Meafou E. (Try),
- 19', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Laclayat T. (Try),
- 22', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 31', Marchand J. (Try),
- 32', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Ramos T. (Try),
- 37', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 40+1', Gourgues K. (Try),
- 40+2', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (19 - 7)
- 48', Dupont A. 🟨,
- 48', Brau-Boirie F. (Try),
- 49', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 65', Willis J. (Try),
- 74', Colombe Reazel G. (Try),
- 75', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+1', Jelonch A. (Try),
- 80+1', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Toulouse
87.6% | Draw
2.4% | Section Paloise
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Toulouse - Section Paloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.05 ↑
(1.04) |
38.94 ↓
(40.47) |
9.34 ↓
(12.28) |
8.1%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 59.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-21)
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Section Paloise?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -20.5 - Toulouse (1.82) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 41:20.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Section Paloise may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Toulouse is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 555:318. (average 27.8:15.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 383:139. (average 38.3:13.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Section Paloise?
Toulouse has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Section Paloise won against Toulouse?
Section Paloise has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Section Paloise were as follows:
18.10.2025
Section Paloise
-
Toulouse
30:26
29.03.2025
Toulouse
-
Section Paloise
55:10
19.10.2024
Section Paloise
-
Toulouse
14:22
30.03.2024
Toulouse
-
Section Paloise
31:29
05.11.2023
Section Paloise
-
Toulouse
13:9
Latest results of Toulouse
Latest results of Section Paloise
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 730:365 | 67 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 558:477 | 55 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 561:390 | 53 |
| 4 | Clermont | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 596:467 | 51 |
| 5 | Bordeaux Begles | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 591:483 | 50 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 513:448 | 49 |
| 7 | RC Toulonnais | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 465:536 | 45 |
| 8 | Racing 92 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 514:558 | 45 |
| 9 | Castres Olympique | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 431:501 | 42 |
| 10 | Stade Rochelais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 551:487 | 41 |
| 11 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 521:502 | 39 |
| 12 | Aviron Bayonnais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 467:595 | 36 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 344:511 | 18 |
| 14 | Montauban | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 338:860 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
