Selaya vs Guarnizo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
25/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 19

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, ,
  • 43', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 67', 0 - 2, ,
  • 84', 0 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Selaya
28.9%
Draw
29%
Guarnizo
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 30.8% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 31% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Selaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Selaya than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Selaya - Guarnizo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.15
    (2.97)
    3.14
    (2.94)
    2.16
    (2.34)
    9.9%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).
    • Selaya is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Guarnizo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Selaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Guarnizo has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Selaya won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Selaya won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    Latest results of Selaya
    22.02.2026 Selaya - Tropezón 0:1
    14.02.2026 Cartes - Selaya 2:1
    31.01.2026 Revilla - Selaya 0:0
    17.01.2026 Colindres - Selaya 1:1
    Latest results of Guarnizo
    15.02.2026 Revilla - Guarnizo 1:2
    31.01.2026 Guarnizo - Colindres 1:0
    17.01.2026 Guarnizo - Laredo 2:3
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Torrelavega26203363:105363
    2Laredo26165547:192853
    3Tropezon26163740:211951
    4Escobedo26161949:331649
    5Atletico Albericia26153848:291948
    6Vimenor26146635:231248
    7Guarnizo26137633:221146
    8Cayon26135838:30844
    9Torina26126830:30042
    10Castro26971037:35234
    11Bezana26961125:31-633
    12CD Barquereno26841431:44-1328
    13UC Cartes26671321:39-1825
    14Revilla26651529:52-2323
    15Selaya26461617:33-1618
    16Montanas26461627:71-4418
    17Noja26451716:43-2717
    18CD Colindres26291516:37-2115

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