Result
1:0 penalties
19/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Africa Cup of Nations Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 1, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport PSL |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6 |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Cameroon | CRTV Sports |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Cote-d-ivoire | RTI 3 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Morocco | Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1 |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 South-africa | SABC 3, SABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL |
 Thailand | beIN Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Zambia | ZNBC 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (301/429) | 57% (185/324) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (301/429) | 57% (185/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (26/76) | 43% (39/91) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (58/119) | 47% (50/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 55 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Ndiaye W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Seck B. 🟨,
- 58', Holweni S. ↓, Motau A. ↑,
- 66', Fall K. ↓, Drame F. ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 91', Motau A. ↓, Mthandi N. ↑,
- 96', Balde H. ↓, Diallo H. ↑,
- 105', Ramalepe L. ↓, Salgado G. ↑,
- 105+1', Motlhalo L. ↓, Gamede B. ↑,
- 120+2', Seck B. ↓, Kande M. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 1)
- 1, Dhlamini K. (Pen),
- 1, Diop M. (Pen),
- 2, Makhubela T. (Pen),
- 2, Ndiaye N. (Pen),
- 3, Salgado G. (Pen),
- 3, Kande M. (Pen),
- 4, Mbane B. (Pen),
Chances of winning
South Africa W
58.7% | Draw
25% | Senegal W
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Africa W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Senegal W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Africa W than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Africa W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Senegal W than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
South Africa W - Senegal W Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.45) |
3.68 ↓
(4.2) |
5.65 ↓
(5.7) |
8.6%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for South Africa W - Senegal W?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- South Africa is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Senegal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, South Africa is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that South Africa will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has South Africa W won against Senegal W?
South Africa W has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Senegal W won against South Africa W?
Senegal W has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between South Africa W - Senegal W were as follows:
04.06.2024
Senegal W
-
South Africa W
0:2
01.06.2024
Senegal W
-
South Africa W
1:1
Latest results of South Africa W
Latest results of Senegal W
Draw
Final tournamentQuarter-finals| 1 | Morocco W (A1) | Mali W (C3) | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Algeria W (B2) | Ghana W (C2) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Nigeria W (B1) | Zambia W (A2) | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | South Africa W (C1) | Senegal W (A3) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Morocco W (A1) | Ghana W (C2) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Nigeria W (B1) | South Africa W (C1) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Morocco W (A1) | Nigeria W (B1) | |
3rd place| 2 | Ghana W (C2) | South Africa W (C1) | 2 : 1 |
