South Africa W vs Senegal W, Africa Cup of Nations Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Africa Cup of Nations Women South Africa W - Senegal W
Result
1:0 penalties
19/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Africa Cup of Nations Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 1, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport PSL
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireRTI 3
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
moroccoMoroccoArryadia TNT, SNRT Live
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalSport TV5
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC 3, SABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
thailandThailandbeIN Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
zambiaZambiaZNBC 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.860.47
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
70% (301/429)57% (185/324)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.860.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.20
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
106
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
114
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1311
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
70% (301/429)57% (185/324)
Long passes
34% (26/76)43% (39/91)
Passes in final third
49% (58/119)47% (50/106)
Crosses
11% (2/19)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.59
Throw-ins
5532
Fouls
1315
Tackles
67% (10/15)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5164
Clearances
2729
Interceptions
1919
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.200.48
Goals prevented
0.200.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Ndiaye W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Seck B. 🟨,
  • 58', Holweni S. , Motau A. ,
  • 66', Fall K. , Drame F. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Motau A. , Mthandi N. ,
  • 96', Balde H. , Diallo H. ,
  • 105', Ramalepe L. , Salgado G. ,
  • 105+1', Motlhalo L. , Gamede B. ,
  • 120+2', Seck B. , Kande M. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 1)
  • 1, Dhlamini K. (Pen),
  • 1, Diop M. (Pen),
  • 2, Makhubela T. (Pen),
  • 2, Ndiaye N. (Pen),
  • 3, Salgado G. (Pen),
  • 3, Kande M. (Pen),
  • 4, Mbane B. (Pen),

Chances of winning


South Africa W
58.7%
Draw
25%
Senegal W
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 21.6% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5% 20.3% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Africa W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Senegal W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Africa W than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Africa W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Senegal W than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • South Africa W - Senegal W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.45)
    3.68
    (4.2)
    5.65
    (5.7)
    8.6%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for South Africa W - Senegal W?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • South Africa is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Senegal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, South Africa is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that South Africa will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Africa W - Senegal W were as follows:
    04.06.2024 Senegal W - South Africa W 0:2
    01.06.2024 Senegal W - South Africa W 1:1
    Latest results of South Africa W
    14.07.2025 South Africa W - Mali W 4:0
    07.07.2025 South Africa W - Ghana W 2:0
    03.06.2025 South Africa W - Zambia W 2:0
    Latest results of Senegal W
    12.07.2025 Morocco W - Senegal W 1:0
    09.07.2025 Zambia W - Senegal W 3:2
    06.07.2025 Senegal W - D.R. Congo W 4:0
    01.07.2025 Algeria W - Senegal W 0:3
    31.05.2025 Sierra Leone W - Senegal W 1:0
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Morocco W (A1)Mali W (C3)3 : 1
    2Algeria W (B2)Ghana W (C2)0 : 1
    3Nigeria W (B1)Zambia W (A2)5 : 0
    4South Africa W (C1)Senegal W (A3)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Morocco W (A1)Ghana W (C2)2 : 1
    2Nigeria W (B1)South Africa W (C1)2 : 1

    Final
    1Morocco W (A1)Nigeria W (B1)

    3rd place
    2Ghana W (C2)South Africa W (C1)2 : 1