Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma vs Incheon United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
12/10/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K League 2 - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
worldWorldK League TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
95
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
61
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Total shots
95
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
61
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1613
Fouls
1016

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Kim Gun-Hee , Lee Ju-Yong (A),
  • 22', Yang Han-Been 🟨,
  • 22', 0 - 2, Park Seung-Ho (Pen),
  • 24', Jung Won-Jin 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Ryu Jun-sun , Lee Jeong-Bin ,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Lee Jeong-Bin , Park Kwang-Il (A),
  • 58', Kim Jeong-Hwan , Kim Beom-Su ,
  • 58', Park Kwang-Il , You Ju-An ,
  • 60', Park Seung-Ho , Shin Jin-Ho ,
  • 60', Kim Min-Seog , Barrow M. ,
  • 67', Park Ho-Min , Mugosa S. ,
  • 72', Venicio 🟥,
  • 81', Min Seong-Jun 🟨,
  • 85', Jung Won-Jin , Gang Yun-gu ,
  • 85', Gerso , Kim Do-Hyeok ,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Kim Beom-Su , Lee Jeong-Bin (A),
  • 88', Kim Beom-Su 🟨,
  • 90', Park Su-bin , Park Byeong-gyu ,
  • 90', Elionay , Kim Joo-Won ,
  • 90+6', Kim Seong-Min 🟨,

Chances of winning


Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
24.8%
Draw
30.6%
Incheon United
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 28.1% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 28.9% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma's form might have worsened.
  • Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Incheon United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.04
    (3)
    3.24
    (3.2)
    2.13
    (2.14)
    2.6%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Incheon United?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Seongnam will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Incheon will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seongnam won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Incheon could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seongnam won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Seongnam won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Incheon United were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Incheon United - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma 1:2
    09.03.2025 Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Incheon United 2:1
    Latest results of Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
    Latest results of Incheon United
    South Korean K-League 2 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Busan00000:000
    2Gimhae00000:000
    3Suwon Bluewings00000:000
    4Jeonnam00000:000
    5Daegu00000:000
    6Gyeongnam00000:000
    7Seongnam00000:000
    8Cheonan City00000:000
    9Suwon FC00000:000
    10Cheongju00000:000
    11Asan00000:000
    12Paju Frontier00000:000
    13Hwaseong00000:000
    14Gimpo FC00000:000
    15Seoul E-Land00000:000
    16Ansan Greeners00000:000
    17Yongin00000:000

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