Result
1:0 ET
18/02/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League 2 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI |
 Croatia | SportKlub 10 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (272/365) | 85% (574/679) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (272/365) | 85% (574/679) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/62) | 41% (31/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (77/109) | 72% (102/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 55% (18/33) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 73 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 58 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Mohebi M. 🟨,
- 45+7', Daneshgar M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Yansane S. 🟨,
- 65', Mohebi M. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
- 77', Limouchi M. 🟨,
- 82', Rezaei K. ↓, Aliyari M. ↑,
- 82', Rezavand A. ↓, Bordbar M. ↑,
- 82', Limouchi M. ↓, Lotfi M. ↑,
- 88', Reyed A. ↓, Gannan S. ↑,
- Extra Time (1 - 0)
- 91', 1 - 0, Yansane S. ⚽,
- 98', Vlap M. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
- 99', Hazbavi M. ↓, Mohammadi H. ↑,
- 99', Alves R. ↓, Khodadadi A. ↑,
- 103', Doumbouya A. 🟨,
- 114', Yansane S. ↓, Yassine I. ↑,
- 118', Mansour H. ↓, Mohammed K. ↑,
- 119', Badredlin M. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/26466f7h
Chances of winning
Al-Ahli Doha
30.3% | Draw
29.2% | Sepahan
40.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Doha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ahli Doha's form might have worsened.Sepahan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sepahan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ahli Doha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sepahan than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sepahan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Ahli Doha - Sepahan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.45) |
3.15 ↓
(3.23) |
2.27 ↓
(2.64) |
8.8%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Doha - Sepahan?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Al-Ahli Doha will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Sepahan will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sepahan: 25.1% – 83.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 2nd Half - Sepahan (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Sepahan (2.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB, 1st Half - Sepahan (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Sepahan (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +1 - Sepahan (4.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25, 2nd Half - Sepahan (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25, 1st Half - Sepahan (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Sepahan (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Sepahan (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sepahan will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Sepahan (votes: 13 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 2-2. Second leg.
- Al-Ahli Doha is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sepahan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sepahan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sepahan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Ahli Doha won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Doha won against Sepahan?
Al-Ahli Doha has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sepahan won against Al-Ahli Doha?
Sepahan has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Doha - Sepahan were as follows:
11.02.2026
Sepahan
-
Al-Ahli Doha
2:2
Latest results of Al-Ahli Doha
Latest results of Sepahan
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Zawraa | Al Wasl | 2 : 4, 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Arkadag | Al Nassr | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Sepahan | Al Ahli Doha | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Esteghlal F.C. | Al Hussein | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Pohang | Gamba Osaka | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Ratchaburi | Persib Bandung | 0 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Bangkok Utd | Macarthur FC | 2 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Cong An Ha Noi | Tampines | 1 : 3, 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al Wasl | Al Nassr | |
| 2 | Al Ahli Doha | Al Hussein | |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | Ratchaburi | |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | Tampines | |
Semi-finalsFinal
