Result
1:0
15/05/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 35
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Serbia | SportKlub 6 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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44% | 56% |
Total shots |
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10 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 2 |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Total shots |
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10 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 6 |
Shots off target |
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5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 2 |
Offsides |
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1 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 10 |
Throw-ins |
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7 | 17 |
Fouls |
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8 | 8 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Rupanov B. ⚽, Polendakov M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Nikolaev N. 🟨,
- 68', Angelov Y. ↓, Velchev K. ↑,
- 68', Dunnwald-Turan K. ↓, Vukovic D. ↑,
- 75', Parra M. ↓, Amade A. ↑,
- 78', Rusinov I. ↓, Tsoumou J. ↑,
- 81', Rupanov B. ↓, Fourrier B. ↑,
- 82', Ivanov G. ↓, Onasci K. ↑,
- 85', Markelo N. ↓, Gigov N. ↑,
- 85', Penchev B. ↓, Ichev N. ↑,
- 90+1', Ochayi V. ↓, Moran M. ↑,
- 90+2', Serber K. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
Chances of winning
Septemvri Sofia 66.8% | Draw 19.5% | Hebar Pazardzhik 13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Septemvri Sofia's performance.Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Septemvri Sofia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+4%)
Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.39 ↓ (1.5) |
4.79 ↑ (4.2) |
6.76 ↑ (5.74) |
7.7% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Hebar will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Septemvri Sofia: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 3.
- Septemvri Sofia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hebar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Septemvri Sofia is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 2.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Septemvri Sofia won against Hebar Pazardzhik?
Septemvri Sofia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hebar Pazardzhik won against Septemvri Sofia?
Hebar Pazardzhik has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik were as follows:
10.03.2025
Septemvri Sofia
-
Hebar Pazardzhik
6:1
20.09.2024
Hebar Pazardzhik
-
Septemvri Sofia
1:2
26.05.2023
Hebar Pazardzhik
-
Septemvri Sofia
3:1
04.11.2022
Septemvri Sofia
-
Hebar Pazardzhik
1:1
Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
Latest results of Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ludogorets | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
3 | Lok. Plovdiv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Slavia Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
6 | Botev Plovdiv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Cherno More | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | CSKA Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Lok. Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Beroe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Spartak Varna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Botev Vratsa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
13 | Dobrudzha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Arda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Montana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
16 | Septemvri Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Parva liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: )
Parva liga (Relegation Group: )