Septemvri Sofia vs Hebar Pazardzhik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bulgarian Parva Liga Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik
Result
1:0
15/05/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 6
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
26
Corner Kicks
22
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
32
Corner Kicks
22
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1210
Throw-ins
717
Fouls
88
Goalkeeper Saves
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Rupanov B. , Polendakov M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Nikolaev N. 🟨,
  • 68', Angelov Y. , Velchev K. ,
  • 68', Dunnwald-Turan K. , Vukovic D. ,
  • 75', Parra M. , Amade A. ,
  • 78', Rusinov I. , Tsoumou J. ,
  • 81', Rupanov B. , Fourrier B. ,
  • 82', Ivanov G. , Onasci K. ,
  • 85', Markelo N. , Gigov N. ,
  • 85', Penchev B. , Ichev N. ,
  • 90+1', Ochayi V. , Moran M. ,
  • 90+2', Serber K. , Vitinho ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Septemvri Sofia
66.8%
Draw
19.5%
Hebar Pazardzhik
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 22.1% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 20.2% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Septemvri Sofia's performance.
  • Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Septemvri Sofia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.5)
    4.79
    (4.2)
    6.76
    (5.74)
    7.7%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Hebar will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Septemvri Sofia: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 3.
    • Septemvri Sofia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hebar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Septemvri Sofia is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 2.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik were as follows:
    10.03.2025 Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik 6:1
    20.09.2024 Hebar Pazardzhik - Septemvri Sofia 1:2
    26.05.2023 Hebar Pazardzhik - Septemvri Sofia 3:1
    04.11.2022 Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik 1:1
    Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
    Latest results of Hebar Pazardzhik
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ludogorets440011:11012
    2Levski Sofia440011:2912
    3Cherno More42207:258
    4Lok. Sofia42206:248
    5Lok. Plovdiv42203:128
    6CSKA 1948 Sofia42115:417
    7Dobrudzha42025:506
    8Arda41216:245
    9Beroe41214:7-35
    10Spartak Varna40313:4-13
    11Botev Vratsa40313:4-13
    12CSKA Sofia40312:3-13
    13Montana40221:9-82
    14Slavia Sofia40133:9-61
    15Botev Plovdiv40132:9-71
    16Septemvri Sofia40044:12-80

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