Result
1:0
15/05/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 35
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | SportKlub 6 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Rupanov B. ⚽, Polendakov M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Nikolaev N. 🟨,
- 68', Angelov Y. ↓, Velchev K. ↑,
- 68', Dunnwald-Turan K. ↓, Vukovic D. ↑,
- 75', Parra M. ↓, Amade A. ↑,
- 78', Rusinov I. ↓, Tsoumou J. ↑,
- 81', Rupanov B. ↓, Fourrier B. ↑,
- 82', Ivanov G. ↓, Onasci K. ↑,
- 85', Markelo N. ↓, Gigov N. ↑,
- 85', Penchev B. ↓, Ichev N. ↑,
- 90+1', Ochayi V. ↓, Moran M. ↑,
- 90+2', Serber K. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
Chances of winning
Septemvri Sofia
66.8% | Draw
19.5% | Hebar Pazardzhik
13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Septemvri Sofia's performance.Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Septemvri Sofia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+4%)
Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.5) |
4.79 ↑
(4.2) |
6.76 ↑
(5.74) |
7.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Hebar will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Septemvri Sofia: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Septemvri Sofia (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Hebar (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Hebar (5.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Septemvri Sofia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Hebar (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 3.
- Septemvri Sofia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hebar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Septemvri Sofia is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 2.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Septemvri Sofia won against Hebar Pazardzhik?
Septemvri Sofia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hebar Pazardzhik won against Septemvri Sofia?
Hebar Pazardzhik has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik were as follows:
10.03.2025
Septemvri Sofia
-
Hebar Pazardzhik
6:1
20.09.2024
Hebar Pazardzhik
-
Septemvri Sofia
1:2
26.05.2023
Hebar Pazardzhik
-
Septemvri Sofia
3:1
04.11.2022
Septemvri Sofia
-
Hebar Pazardzhik
1:1
Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
Latest results of Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 52:14 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 41:17 | 24 | 43 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:17 | 16 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 40 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 26:15 | 11 | 36 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 28 |
| 8 | Arda | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 27 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | Spartak Varna | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 21:33 | -12 | 20 |
| 13 | Dobrudzha | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17:29 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | Beroe | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 17:34 | -17 | 18 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 20:44 | -24 | 18 |
| 16 | Montana | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:36 | -22 | 15 |
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