Septemvri Sofia vs Hebar Pazardzhik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
15/05/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 6
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
26
Corner Kicks
22
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
32
Corner Kicks
22
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1210
Throw-ins
717
Fouls
88
Goalkeeper Saves
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Rupanov B. , Polendakov M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Nikolaev N. 🟨,
  • 68', Angelov Y. , Velchev K. ,
  • 68', Dunnwald-Turan K. , Vukovic D. ,
  • 75', Parra M. , Amade A. ,
  • 78', Rusinov I. , Tsoumou J. ,
  • 81', Rupanov B. , Fourrier B. ,
  • 82', Ivanov G. , Onasci K. ,
  • 85', Markelo N. , Gigov N. ,
  • 85', Penchev B. , Ichev N. ,
  • 90+1', Ochayi V. , Moran M. ,
  • 90+2', Serber K. , Vitinho ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Septemvri Sofia
66.8%
Draw
19.5%
Hebar Pazardzhik
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 22.1% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 20.2% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Septemvri Sofia's performance.
  • Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Septemvri Sofia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.5)
    4.79
    (4.2)
    6.76
    (5.74)
    7.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Hebar will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Septemvri Sofia: 45%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Septemvri Sofia (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Hebar (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Hebar (5.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Septemvri Sofia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Hebar (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 3.
    • Septemvri Sofia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hebar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Septemvri Sofia is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 2.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik were as follows:
    10.03.2025 Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik 6:1
    20.09.2024 Hebar Pazardzhik - Septemvri Sofia 1:2
    26.05.2023 Hebar Pazardzhik - Septemvri Sofia 3:1
    04.11.2022 Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik 1:1
    Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
    Latest results of Hebar Pazardzhik
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia ✔ 26202458:184062
    2Ludogorets27168354:193556
    3CSKA 1948 Sofia26155642:261650
    4CSKA Sofia26137636:221446
    5Cherno More261110531:171443
    6Lok. Plovdiv26911626:31-538
    7Slavia Sofia2698932:29335
    8Arda2698926:24235
    9Botev Vratsa26810820:21-134
    10Lok. Sofia26810834:31334
    11Botev Plovdiv26861230:36-630
    12Dobrudzha26741521:35-1425
    13Spartak Varna274111224:45-2123
    14Septemvri Sofia26631722:53-3121
    15Beroe ✔ 263101317:39-2219
    16Montana ✔ 26371614:41-2716

          Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
          efbet League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )