Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
07/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 15
  • Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
49
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
54
Total shots
811
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
32
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
910
Throw-ins
2521
Fouls
108

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 1', Ochayi V. 🟨,
  • 26', Georgiev A. 🟨,
  • 34', Budinov I. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Ochayi V. ,
  • 45+4', 0 - 2, Fontaine N. ,
  • 45+5', Budinov I. , Yanchev E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', Ivanov G. 🟨,
  • 57', Yordanov D. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Berna ,
  • 64', Kovalyov M. 🟨,
  • 65', Fourrier B. 🟨,
  • 68', Baurenski Y. 🟨,
  • 71', Parra M. , Aruna A. ,
  • 71', Vasilev S. , Varbanov G. ,
  • 72', Georgiev A. , Halachev D. ,
  • 72', Ivanov D. , Lozev D. ,
  • 75', Stojanovski G. 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 3, Aruna A. ,
  • 81', Baurenski Y. , Onasci K. ,
  • 81', Ivanov G. , Serber K. ,
  • 81', Marinov T. , Pehlivanov Z. ,
  • 86', Yordanov D. , Moukachar S. ,
  • 90+1', Fourrier B. , Wade S. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 4, Fontaine N. ,

Chances of winning


Spartak Varna
41.5%
Draw
28.3%
Septemvri Sofia
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 27.7% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 26.7% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Varna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.01)
    3.28
    (3.33)
    3.1
    (3.48)
    7.5%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Spartak Varna will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Spartak Varna will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Spartak Varna has had a series of away games.
    • Spartak Varna might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Varna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia were as follows:
    16.03.2025 Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia 4:2
    30.09.2024 Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna 0:1
    05.04.2024 Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna 0:2
    24.09.2023 Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia 1:2
    31.05.2023 Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia 1:0
    Latest results of Spartak Varna
    Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia23182356:173956
    2Ludogorets23128342:182444
    3CSKA 1948 Sofia23134635:251043
    4CSKA Sofia23117533:191440
    5Cherno More2399527:171036
    6Lok. Plovdiv23811425:25035
    7Slavia Sofia2487927:28-131
    8Arda2387824:23131
    9Botev Plovdiv24851129:33-429
    10Botev Vratsa23610716:19-328
    11Lok. Sofia2269727:27027
    12Spartak Varna24411922:34-1223
    13Dobrudzha23641319:30-1122
    14Septemvri Sofia23631422:46-2421
    15Beroe243101117:37-2019
    16Montana24371414:37-2316

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