Result
1:4
07/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 15
- Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 1', Ochayi V. 🟨,
- 26', Georgiev A. 🟨,
- 34', Budinov I. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Ochayi V. ⚽,
- 45+4', 0 - 2, Fontaine N. ⚽,
- 45+5', Budinov I. ↓, Yanchev E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', Ivanov G. 🟨,
- 57', Yordanov D. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 2, Berna ⚽,
- 64', Kovalyov M. 🟨,
- 65', Fourrier B. 🟨,
- 68', Baurenski Y. 🟨,
- 71', Parra M. ↓, Aruna A. ↑,
- 71', Vasilev S. ↓, Varbanov G. ↑,
- 72', Georgiev A. ↓, Halachev D. ↑,
- 72', Ivanov D. ↓, Lozev D. ↑,
- 75', Stojanovski G. 🟨,
- 80', 1 - 3, Aruna A. ⚽,
- 81', Baurenski Y. ↓, Onasci K. ↑,
- 81', Ivanov G. ↓, Serber K. ↑,
- 81', Marinov T. ↓, Pehlivanov Z. ↑,
- 86', Yordanov D. ↓, Moukachar S. ↑,
- 90+1', Fourrier B. ↓, Wade S. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 4, Fontaine N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Spartak Varna
41.5% | Draw
28.3% | Septemvri Sofia
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Varna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.01) |
3.28 ↓
(3.33) |
3.1 ↓
(3.48) |
7.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Spartak Varna will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Spartak Varna will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Spartak Varna has had a series of away games.
- Spartak Varna might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Varna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Varna won against Septemvri Sofia?
Spartak Varna has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Septemvri Sofia won against Spartak Varna?
Septemvri Sofia has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia were as follows:
16.03.2025
Spartak Varna
-
Septemvri Sofia
4:2
30.09.2024
Septemvri Sofia
-
Spartak Varna
0:1
05.04.2024
Septemvri Sofia
-
Spartak Varna
0:2
24.09.2023
Spartak Varna
-
Septemvri Sofia
1:2
31.05.2023
Spartak Varna
-
Septemvri Sofia
1:0
Latest results of Spartak Varna
Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia ✔ | 27 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 60:19 | 41 | 65 |
| 2 | Ludogorets ✔ | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 54:19 | 35 | 56 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia ✔ | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 45:28 | 17 | 53 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 38:22 | 16 | 49 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 32:19 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 28:32 | -4 | 41 |
| 7 | Arda | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 38 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 21:23 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 34 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Dobrudzha ✔ | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 21:37 | -16 | 25 |
| 13 | Spartak Varna ✔ | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 24:45 | -21 | 23 |
| 14 | Beroe ✔ | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 18:39 | -21 | 22 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia ✔ | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 23:57 | -34 | 21 |
| 16 | Montana ✔ | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 14:42 | -28 | 16 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
CSKA 1948 Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Dobrudzha is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )
