ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne vs Seraing – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
11/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 29

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.682.45
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
57
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
11
Passes
82% (388/471)82% (341/414)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.682.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.303.46
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
119
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
11
Touches in opposition box
2021
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
22
Free kicks
717
Passes
82% (388/471)82% (341/414)
Long passes
44% (19/43)51% (39/76)
Passes in final third
59% (47/79)58% (62/106)
Crosses
27% (4/15)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.39
Throw ins
3023
Fouls
177
Tackles
92% (11/12)50% (7/14)
Duels won
2649
Clearances
2221
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
3.461.30
Goals prevented
-0.54-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Muland M. ,
  • 21', Scarpinati M. 🟨,
  • 34', Da Costa E. 🟨,
  • 37', Ramalho J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 46', Berberi R. , Ion R. ,
  • 46', Omosanya M. , Spago E. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Ephestion T. , Dailly N. (A),
  • 57', 1 - 2, Muland M. , Mabani F. (A),
  • 61', 1 - 3, Soumah-Abbad E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 65', Ba A. , Faye S. ,
  • 71', Dailly N. , Lake T. ,
  • 71', Akpa-Chukwu H. , Paulo da Silva T. ,
  • 71', Mabani F. , Ondo-Eyi H. ,
  • 71', Ramalho J. , Mbalanda J. ,
  • 79', Florica L. , Medfai M. ,
  • 80', Lake T. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 4, Muland M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 82', Muland M. , Duarte D. ,
  • 82', Scarpinati M. , Ndiaye C. O. ,
  • 83', 2 - 4, Mbalanda J. , Medfai M. (A),

Chances of winning


ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
41.7%
Draw
27.2%
Seraing
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 26.8% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 27.1% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Seraing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Seraing Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.05)
    3.41
    (3.48)
    3.02
    (3.37)
    7.2%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Seraing?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. ROCCM will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Seraing will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Seraing: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. ROCCM (votes: 1 - 50%). Seraing (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Seraing (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - ROCCM (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Seraing (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. ROCCM (votes: 2 - 40%). Seraing (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).
    • Recent form of ROCCM has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Seraing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Seraing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ROCCM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Seraing were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Seraing - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne 3:1
    Latest results of Seraing
    08.03.2026 Seraing - Francs Borains 4:0
    01.03.2026 Lommel - Seraing 0:1
    21.02.2026 Seraing - Kortrijk Postponed
    13.02.2026 Lierse - Seraing 0:1
    07.02.2026 Seraing - Anderlecht U23 1:2