Serbia vs Croatia, World Cup Water Polo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:11
12/04/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification - Division 1 - Second stage

Chances of winning


Serbia
45.5%
Draw
13%
Croatia
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 12.7% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 12.7% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Serbia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serbia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croatia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Serbia - Croatia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.03)
    7.09
    (7.23)
    2.22
    (2.21)
    8.5%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 24.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serbia won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Serbia won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 214:195. (average 10.7:9.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Serbia - Croatia were as follows:
    11.08.2024 Serbia - Croatia 13:11
    13.02.2024 Serbia - Croatia 13:15
    Latest results of Serbia
    11.04.2026 Serbia - Netherlands 16:12
    09.04.2026 Serbia - USA 12:14
    08.04.2026 Serbia - Hungary 10:12
    07.04.2026 Greece - Serbia 16:15
    06.04.2026 Serbia - Netherlands 15:11
    Latest results of Croatia
    11.04.2026 Croatia - USA 18:12
    09.04.2026 Croatia - Netherlands 12:8
    08.04.2026 Italy - Croatia 13:11
    07.04.2026 Spain - Croatia 14:10
    06.04.2026 Croatia - USA 16:7
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1Neutral Athletes BBrazil16 : 10
    2FrancePortugal23 : 9
    3MontenegroMalta23 : 6
    4RomaniaArgentina21 : 11
    5CanadaUkraine13 : 17
    6TurkeyGeorgia12 : 19
    7AustraliaSlovakia18 : 9
    8GermanyChina14 : 8

    Quarter-finals
    1Neutral Athletes BFrance13 : 14
    2MontenegroRomania14 : 8
    3UkraineGeorgia9 : 20
    4AustraliaGermany11 : 14

    Semi-finals
    1FranceMontenegro11 : 15
    2GeorgiaGermany19 : 13

    Final
    1MontenegroGeorgia19 : 17

    3rd place
    2FranceGermany6 : 8