Sergey Fomin vs Evan Zhu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Shenzhen 4 Challenger Men Sergey Fomin - Evan Zhu
Result
2:1
12/10/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 4 - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
86
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
59%68%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (37/49)70% (35/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (18/34)48% (11/23)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
32% (16/50)31% (15/49)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (12/23)47% (16/34)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
66% (55/83)63% (46/73)
Return Points Won
37% (27/73)34% (28/83)
Total Points Won
53% (82/156)47% (74/156)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
85% (11/13)83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)15% (2/13)
Total Games Won
52% (13/25)48% (12/25)

Chances of winning


Sergey Fomin
67.7%
Evan Zhu
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sergey Fomin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sergey Fomin's performance.
  • Evan Zhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Evan Zhu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sergey Fomin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Evan Zhu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sergey Fomin - Evan Zhu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.61)

    2.9
    (2.21)
    6.8%
    (7.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Fomin is ranked ATP: 492. Zhu is ranked ATP: 578.
    • Recent performances by Fomin have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Zhu's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Zhu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fomin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Sergey Fomin
    Latest results of Evan Zhu
    11.10.2025 Zhenxiong Dong - Evan Zhu 0:2
    21.09.2025 Alex Bolt - Evan Zhu 2:1
    16.09.2025 Denis Yevseyev - Evan Zhu 2:1
    08.09.2025 Alexandr Binda - Evan Zhu 2:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Castelnuovo L. (Q)2 : 0
    2Mo Y. C. (Q)Sultanov K.2 : 0
    3Kotov P.Zhang T. (WC)2 : 0
    4Cui J. (WC)McCabe J. (5)2 : 0
    5Kubler J. (4)Sun F.0 : 2
    6Chung H.Te R. (RET.) (WC)1 : 0
    7Zhou Y.Wang X. (Q)2 : 0
    8Wang A. (Q)Shimizu Y. (7)2 : 1
    9Noguchi R. (8)Uchida K.1 : 2
    10Samrej K.Jung J. (PR)0 : 2
    11Jasika O.Uchiyama Y. (RET.)1 : 0
    12Dev S D P. (Q)Jacquet K. (3)0 : 2
    13Shimabukuro S. (6)Bar Biryukov P.2 : 0
    14Fomin S. (Q)Weber A.2 : 0
    15Honda N. (JR)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    16Harris L.Mayot H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Mo Y. C.0 : 2
    2Kotov P.Cui J.1 : 2
    3Sun F.Chung H.2 : 0
    4Zhou Y. (WO.)Wang A.
    5Uchida K.Jung J. (RET.)1 : 0
    6Jasika O.Jacquet K. (3)1 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S. (6)Fomin S.2 : 1
    8Ferreira Silva F.Mayot H. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Mo Y. C.Cui J.0 : 2
    2Sun F.Zhou Y.0 : 2
    3Uchida K.Jacquet K. (3)1 : 2
    4Shimabukuro S. (6)Mayot H. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Cui J.Zhou Y.1 : 2
    2Jacquet K. (3)Shimabukuro S. (6)2 : 1

    Final
    1Zhou Y.Jacquet K. (3)