Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense vs Sergipe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe
Result
2:2
05/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
113
Red Cards
11
Total shots
127
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
113
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Rickelme ,
  • 43', Junior Vicosa 🟥,
  • 43', Pedro Santos 🟥,
  • 45+6', 0 - 2, Vinicius Tsimuta ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 66', 1 - 2, Marcelo Toscano ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Zulu ,

Chances of winning


Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
56.3%
Draw
25.5%
Sergipe
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 20.5% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2% 19.8% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's form might have worsened.
  • Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergipe's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sergipe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.35)
    3.54
    (4.4)
    4.95
    (7)
    11%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASA won 4.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, ASA is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, ASA won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, ASA won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 1:2
    04.01.2025 Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 0:2
    21.07.2024 Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe 2:0
    27.04.2024 Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 2:3
    01.07.2023 Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe 1:1
    Latest results of Sergipe
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC0 : 1
    3ImperatrizManaus2 : 0
    4America RNJuazeirense1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe1 : 2
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville1 : 1
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0