Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense vs Sergipe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
05/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
113
Red Cards
11
Total shots
127
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
113
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Rickelme ,
  • 43', Junior Vicosa 🟥,
  • 43', Pedro Santos 🟥,
  • 45+6', 0 - 2, Vinicius Tsimuta ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 66', 1 - 2, Marcelo Toscano ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Zulu ,

Chances of winning


Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
56.3%
Draw
25.5%
Sergipe
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 20.5% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2% 19.8% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's form might have worsened.
  • Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergipe's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sergipe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.35)
    3.54
    (4.4)
    4.95
    (7)
    11%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - ASA (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. ASA (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASA won 4.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, ASA is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, ASA won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, ASA won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 1:2
    04.01.2025 Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 0:2
    21.07.2024 Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe 2:0
    27.04.2024 Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 2:3
    01.07.2023 Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe 1:1
    Latest results of Sergipe
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM11001:013
    2Manaus11001:013
    3Sao Raimundo RR10100:001
    4Manauara10100:001
    5GAS10010:1-10
    6Monte Roraima10010:1-10


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto Velho11005:143
    2Araguaina11002:113
    3Guapore11001:013
    4Galvez10011:2-10
    5Independencia10010:1-10
    6Humaita10011:5-40


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama11002:023
    2Luverdense11002:113
    3Brasiliense10101:101
    4Primavera AC10101:101
    5Inhumas10011:2-10
    6Aparecidense10010:2-20


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Capital11001:013
    2Operario VG10102:201
    3Goiatuba10102:201
    4Ceilandia10100:001
    5Mixto10100:001
    6Uniao Rondonopolis10010:1-10


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguia De Maraba10101:101
    2Trem10101:101
    3Imperatriz10100:001
    4Tuna Luso10100:001
    5Tocantinopolis00000:000
    6Oratorio00000:000


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1IAPE10102:201
    2Maracana10102:201
    3Parnahyba10101:101
    4Iguatu10100:001
    5Moto Club10101:101
    6Sampaio Correa10100:001


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piaui11002:113
    2Ferroviario10101:101
    3Fluminense-PI10101:101
    4AE Altos10100:001
    5Atletico-CE10100:001
    6Tirol10011:2-10


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maguary11003:033
    2America RN11002:023
    3Central SC10101:101
    4Laguna RN10101:101
    5Sousa10010:2-20
    6ABC10010:3-30


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Treze PB11003:033
    2Sergipe10101:101
    3Lagarto10101:101
    4Decisao10101:101
    5Serra Branca10101:101
    6Retro10010:3-30


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CSA11003:033
    2Juazeirense11003:123
    3ASA10100:001
    4Jacuipense10100:001
    5CSE10011:3-20
    6Alagoinhas10010:3-30


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ivinhema11001:013
    2Uberlandia11001:013
    3Operario MS10101:101
    4Betim10101:101
    5CRAC10010:1-10
    6Ouvidorense10010:1-10


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto-BA11003:213
    2Tombense11001:013
    3Democrata GV11001:013
    4Rio Branco ES10012:3-10
    5Vitoria ES10010:1-10
    6Real Noroeste10010:1-10


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Agua Santa11004:043
    2Pouso Alegre11002:023
    3Portuguesa10101:101
    4Portuguesa RJ10101:101
    5Madureira10010:2-20
    6America RJ10010:4-40


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piracicaba11004:133
    2Marica11002:113
    3Sampaio Correa FE11001:013
    4Velo Clube10011:2-10
    5Noroeste10010:1-10
    6Nova Iguacu10011:4-30


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cianorte11003:123
    2Joinville11002:023
    3Cascavel11001:013
    4Santa Catarina10010:1-10
    5Guarany de Bage10011:3-20
    6Sao Luiz10010:2-20


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau11003:033
    2Brasil de Pelotas11002:113
    3Marcilio Dias10100:001
    4Sao Joseense10100:001
    5Azuriz10011:2-10
    6EC Sao Jose10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)