Result
2:2
05/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Rickelme ⚽,
- 43', Junior Vicosa 🟥,
- 43', Pedro Santos 🟥,
- 45+6', 0 - 2, Vinicius Tsimuta ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 66', 1 - 2, Marcelo Toscano ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Zulu ⚽,
Chances of winning
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
56.3% | Draw
25.5% | Sergipe
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's form might have worsened.Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergipe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sergipe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.35) |
3.54 ↓
(4.4) |
4.95 ↓
(7) |
11%
(11.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASA won 4.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, ASA is a strong favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, ASA won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, ASA won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense won against Sergipe?
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sergipe won against Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense?
Sergipe has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe were as follows:
10.05.2025
Sergipe
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
1:2
04.01.2025
Sergipe
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
0:2
21.07.2024
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
-
Sergipe
2:0
27.04.2024
Sergipe
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
2:3
01.07.2023
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
-
Sergipe
1:1
Latest results of Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Latest results of Sergipe
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 10 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 12 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 13 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | ASA | Manauara | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | America RN | Imperatriz | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | 0 : 2, 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Mixto | Cianorte | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals
