Sergipe vs Guarany de Porto da Folha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano Sergipe - Guarany de Porto da Folha
Result
4:0
22/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Sergipano - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilIT tv Plus

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Henrique ,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Leo Fernandes (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', 3 - 0, Pedrinho ,
  • 75', 4 - 0, Reny Max ,

Chances of winning


Sergipe
60.6%
Draw
24.4%
Guarany de Porto da Folha
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 25.9% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 24.3% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Guarany de Porto da Folha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sergipe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Porto da Folha than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Sergipe - Guarany de Porto da Folha Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.59)
    3.74
    (3.5)
    6.1
    (5.34)
    9.5%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Sergipe is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Guarany PF is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Guarany PF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Sergipe is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Sergipe
    19.02.2025 Sergipe - Ceará 0:2
    16.02.2025 Sergipe - Lagarto 0:4
    09.02.2025 Confiança - Sergipe 2:1
    01.02.2025 Dorense - Sergipe 0:1
    25.01.2025 Sergipe - Falcon 0:1
    Latest results of Guarany de Porto da Folha
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Confianca (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)Falcon (6)0 : 1
    3Itabaiana (2)Sergipe (7)2 : 0
    4America SE (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ConfiancaFalcon3 : 0, 2 : 1
    2ItabaianaAmerica SE1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1ConfiancaItabaiana1 : 1, 2 : 1