Result
28/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+6', 1 - 0, Junior Sergipano ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 2 - 0, Reny Max ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sergipe
59.4% | Draw
24.9% | Penedense
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sergipe's performance.Penedense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Penedense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penedense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sergipe - Penedense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.68) |
3.64 ↓
(3.65) |
5.78 ↑
(4.1) |
10.3%
(11.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sergipe - Penedense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sergipe (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).
- Sergipe is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Penedense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Sergipe is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Sergipe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sergipe won against Penedense?
Sergipe has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penedense won against Sergipe?
Penedense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sergipe - Penedense were as follows:
18.05.2025
Penedense
-
Sergipe
0:1
29.12.2024
Sergipe
-
Penedense
0:0
Latest results of Sergipe
Latest results of Penedense
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 13 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 14 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | ASA | Manauara | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | America RN | Imperatriz | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Mixto | Cianorte | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | 0 : 2, 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Maranhao | ASA | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | America RN | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Cianorte | Barra FC | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Goiatuba | Inter de Limeira | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Maranhao | Santa Cruz | |
| 2 | Barra FC | Inter de Limeira | |
Final
