Adana Demirspor vs Serik Belediyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
14/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.250.99
Ball possession
35%65%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
36
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
05
Passes
75% (248/330)89% (548/616)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.250.99
xG on target (xGOT)
0.262.51
Total shots
810
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
00
Shots inside the box
16
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
05
Touches in opposition box
427
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
27
Free kicks
174
Passes
75% (248/330)89% (548/616)
Long passes
30% (12/40)75% (47/63)
Passes in final third
46% (21/46)70% (106/151)
Crosses
0% (0/3)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.090.96
Throw ins
1318
Fouls
417
Tackles
81% (17/21)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4832
Clearances
198
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
2.510.26
Goals prevented
-1.49-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Martynov A. , Nalepa M. (A),
  • 15', 0 - 2, Nwachukwu C. , Martynov A. (A),
  • 38', 0 - 3, Altiparmak G. , Adeola R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Dubus D. A. , Menemencioglu M. ,
  • 46', Irga S. , Gurol Y. ,
  • 57', Nwachukwu C. , Topalli J. ,
  • 57', Nefiz E. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 62', Bayar T. 🟨,
  • 67', Martynov A. , Skvortsov L. ,
  • 67', Ceylan B. , Tashkyn S. ,
  • 74', Bayar T. , Ergen M. ,
  • 79', 0 - 4, Adeola R. ,
  • 81', Altiparmak G. , Koc A. ,
  • 81', Saygan K. , Ozkanbas A. ,
  • 87', Bolat A. , Aktas H. E. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 4, Kucuk K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Adana Demirspor
13.2%
Draw
19.5%
Serik Belediyespor
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.8% 25.3% 53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 23.9% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adana Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adana Demirspor's form might have worsened.
  • Serik Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serik Belediyespor's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adana Demirspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serik Belediyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Adana Demirspor - Serik Belediyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.94
    (4.39)
    4.69
    (3.6)
    1.38
    (1.69)
    8.4%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Adana Demirspor - Serik Belediyespor?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Serik Belediyespor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Serik Belediyespor will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
    • Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.
    • Adana Demirspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Serik Belediyespor is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Adana Demirspor: Gulay S. (Suspended) Tunc G. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Asan B. (Yellow Cards) Demir I. (Tendon Injury) Dilli S. (Yellow Cards) Guibero R. (Inactive) Okoro J. (Inactive) Spasov G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Adana Demirspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Adana Demirspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adana Demirspor - Serik Belediyespor were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Serik Belediyespor - Adana Demirspor 4:0
    Latest results of Adana Demirspor
    Latest results of Serik Belediyespor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor34229377:245375
    2Amedspor34218575:344171
    3Erokspor341910577:324567
    4Corum35197955:371864
    5Bodrumspor35188969:363362
    6Pendikspor351513754:312358
    7Keciorengucu351412967:402754
    8Bandirmaspor3514111043:331053
    9Sivasspor3413111043:35850
    10Manisa FK351471450:54-449
    11Igdir FK351391347:48-148
    12Vanspor FK3512101348:40846
    13Sariyer351371541:41046
    14Boluspor341261652:52042
    15Umraniyespor341261640:42-242
    16Istanbulspor AS349131240:51-1140
    17Serik Spor351061939:69-3036
    18Sakaryaspor34891743:60-1733
    19Hatayspor35172727:96-6910
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 35133120:152-132-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to