Result
3:1
01/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 38
- Referee: Ulker H. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.94 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (432/503) | 78% (285/365) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (432/503) | 78% (285/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (42/67) | 48% (32/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (106/159) | 56% (45/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | -1.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', Ozcan S. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Skvortsov L. ⚽,
- 38', Cakmak T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Cakmak T. ↓, Dikbasan E. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Alpsoy H. ⚽, Balburdia M. (A),
- 70', Terzi E. ↓, Altiparmak G. ↑,
- 71', Nefiz E. ↓, Kosker K. ↑,
- 75', Kulbilge B. 🟨,
- 75', 2 - 1, Davas D. ⚽, Balburdia M. (A),
- 76', Kulbilge B. ↓, Dizbay K. A. ↑,
- 76', Cayli M. A. ↓, Yildiz D. ↑,
- 77', Lima L. 🟨,
- 84', Saygi A. ↓, Soykan E. ↑,
- 89', Alpsoy H. ↓, Topcu B. ↑,
- 90+1', Sadygov I. ↓, Akyildiz A. D. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Yildiz D. ⚽, Dikbasan E. (A),
Chances of winning
Boluspor
54.4% | Draw
23.7% | Serik Belediyespor
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boluspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Serik Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boluspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-4%)
Boluspor - Serik Belediyespor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.57) |
3.89 ↓
(4.1) |
4.22 ↓
(4.98) |
9%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Boluspor - Serik Belediyespor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Boluspor (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boluspor (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Serik Belediyespor is Relegated to
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- In this match, Boluspor is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Boluspor: Aderinola E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Demir I.
(Tendon Injury)
Guibero R.
(Inactive)
Okoro J.
(Inactive)
Spasov G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Boluspor: Akkan G.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boluspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Boluspor won against Serik Belediyespor?
Boluspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Serik Belediyespor won against Boluspor?
Serik Belediyespor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boluspor - Serik Belediyespor were as follows:
28.12.2025
Serik Belediyespor
-
Boluspor
1:4
Latest results of Boluspor
Latest results of Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 55 | 81 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 39 | 74 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 46 | 74 |
| 4 | Corum | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 24 | 71 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 32 | 64 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 25 | 63 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 30 | 60 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 13 | 60 |
| 9 | Manisa FK | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 53 |
| 11 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 2 | 52 |
| 12 | Sariyer | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 0 | 52 |
| 13 | Igdir FK | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 5 | 49 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 4 | 48 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | -4 | 46 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | -31 | 39 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | -27 | 34 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | -69 | 14 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -147 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
