Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 8
- Referee: Suleyman B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 24% | 76% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (105/185) | 86% (532/616) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (105/185) | 86% (532/616) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (15/51) | 61% (43/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (30/68) | 69% (100/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Gotsuk K. 🟨,
- 22', Tunali M. ↓, Dilli S. ↑,
- 35', Ceylan B. ↓, Sen K. ↑,
- 39', 1 - 0, Terzi E. ⚽, Amaral J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 1, Crociata G. ⚽, Fettahoglu M. (A),
- 65', Sen K. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
- 65', Amaral J. ↓, Celenk E. ↑,
- 67', Dilli S. 🟨,
- 70', Terzi E. 🟨,
- 73', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 77', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
- 78', Akgun S. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
- 90', Dilli S. ↓, Akkan G. ↑,
- 90', Terzi E. ↓, Yuran A. ↑,
- 90+3', Martynov A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Giorbelidze G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Serik Belediyespor
24.9% | Draw
28.2% | Erzurumspor
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Serik Belediyespor - Erzurumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.75 ↑
(3.28) |
3.26 ↓
(3.4) |
1.99 ↓
(2.07) |
7.6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Serik Belediyespor - Erzurumspor?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Erzurumspor will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In recent matches, Serik Belediyespor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Erzurumspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Erzurumspor is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Karakaya B.
(Inactive)
Kok D.
(Inactive)
Yucedag E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Erzurumspor: Karaca A.
(Inactive)
Kilinc K.
(Inactive)
Saglik S.
(Inactive)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Serik Belediyespor won against Erzurumspor?
Serik Belediyespor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Serik Belediyespor?
Erzurumspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Serik Belediyespor - Erzurumspor were as follows:
Latest results of Serik Belediyespor
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodrumspor | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24:8 | 16 | 20 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27:11 | 16 | 19 |
| 3 | Pendikspor | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Corum | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Igdir FK | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Amedspor | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | Erzurumspor | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 16:9 | 7 | 15 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Vanspor FK | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Serik Spor | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Sivasspor | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 12 |
| 13 | Istanbulspor AS | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Sakaryaspor | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Sariyer | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9:25 | -16 | 3 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4:34 | -30 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
