Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        28/09/2025 at  12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  1. Lig - Round 8
- Referee: Suleyman B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Asia | TOD | 
|  Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii, TRT Spor | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.60 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 24% | 76% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 57% (105/185) | 86% (532/616) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.60 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.95 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 4 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 10 | 21 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 12 | 17 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 57% (105/185) | 86% (532/616) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 29% (15/51) | 61% (43/71) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 44% (30/68) | 69% (100/144) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 31% (5/16) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.09 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 19 | 23 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 17 | 12 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 83% (10/12) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 45 | 48 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 38 | 22 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 16 | 3 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.33 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.33 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Gotsuk K. 🟨, 
- 22', Tunali M. ↓, Dilli S. ↑, 
- 35', Ceylan B. ↓, Sen K. ↑, 
- 39', 1 - 0, Terzi E. ⚽, Amaral J. (A), 
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 1, Crociata G. ⚽, Fettahoglu M. (A), 
- 65', Sen K. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑, 
- 65', Amaral J. ↓, Celenk E. ↑, 
- 67', Dilli S. 🟨, 
- 70', Terzi E. 🟨, 
- 73', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑, 
- 77', Rodriguez M. 🟨, 
- 78', Akgun S. ↓, Sylla C. ↑, 
- 90', Dilli S. ↓, Akkan G. ↑, 
- 90', Terzi E. ↓, Yuran A. ↑, 
- 90+3', Martynov A. 🟨, 
- 90+3', Giorbelidze G. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Serik Belediyespor 24.9%
 | Draw 28.2%
 | Erzurumspor 46.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Serik Belediyespor - Erzurumspor Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 3.75 ↑ (3.28)
 | 3.26 ↓ (3.4)
 | 1.99 ↓ (2.07)
 | 7.6% (8.2%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Serik Belediyespor - Erzurumspor?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            4 users predict this event. Erzurumspor will win (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In recent matches, Serik Belediyespor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Erzurumspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Erzurumspor is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Karakaya B.
(Inactive)
Kok D.
(Inactive)
Yucedag E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Erzurumspor: Karaca A.
(Inactive)
Kilinc K.
(Inactive)
Saglik S.
(Inactive)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Serik Belediyespor won against Erzurumspor?
                    
                    
                        
                            Serik Belediyespor has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Serik Belediyespor?
                    
                    
                        
                             Erzurumspor has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Serik Belediyespor - Erzurumspor were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Serik Belediyespor                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Erzurumspor                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Turkish First League Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Bodrumspor | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27:9 | 18 | 24 | 
| 2 | Pendikspor | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 23:9 | 14 | 22 | 
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 22:10 | 12 | 22 | 
| 4 | Corum | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 22 | 
| 5 | Erokspor | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 21 | 
| 6 | Amedspor | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 20 | 
| 7 | Igdir FK | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 18 | 
| 8 | Vanspor FK | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 | 
| 9 | Sakaryaspor | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 | 
| 10 | Bandirmaspor | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 | 
| 11 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 | 
| 12 | Boluspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 14 | 
| 13 | Istanbulspor AS | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 | 
| 14 | Serik Spor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:18 | -9 | 13 | 
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 | 
| 16 | Manisa FK | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | 
| 17 | Sariyer | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 | 
| 18 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 | 
| 19 | Hatayspor | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11:33 | -22 | 4 | 
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6:44 | -38 | -17 | 
      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation