Serpa vs Portimonense B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 82', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Serpa
49.5%
Draw
25.7%
Portimonense B
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 25.2% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 24% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serpa's form might have worsened.
  • Portimonense B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portimonense B's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serpa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense B than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portimonense B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Serpa - Portimonense B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.55)
    3.52
    (3.6)
    3.63
    (5.58)
    10.8%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 10 in the zone Relegation).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Serpa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Serpa is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Serpa
    21.09.2025 Lusitano GC - Serpa 1:0
    14.09.2025 Moncarapachense - Serpa 1:1
    31.08.2025 Serpa - Portel 3:0
    Latest results of Portimonense B
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Malveira1997325:16934
    2Juv. Evora1996423:17633
    3Louletano1988320:91132
    4Serpa1986523:23030
    5GD Alcochetense1985625:17829
    6Lagoa1985634:25929
    7Alverca B1884632:27528
    8Sintrense1976620:20027
    9Oriental1968523:25-226
    10O Elvas CAD1974825:23225
    11Moncarapachense1939714:19-518
    12Portimonense B18521116:27-1117
    13Vasco da Gama19110816:35-1913
    14Industria19261116:29-1312

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
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