Serra Branca vs Botafogo PB – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
01/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paraibano - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner kicks
00
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner kicks
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Gustavo 🟨,
  • 23', Jhonata Varela , Dudu ,
  • 41', Dudu 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kayon , Azevedo F. ,
  • 46', Henrique Dourado , Rodolfo ,
  • 46', Sousa Tibiri , Jefferson Victor ,
  • 66', Guilherme Santos , Gustavo Santos ,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Gustavo ,
  • 71', Michael 🟨,
  • 74', Julio , Maicon ,
  • 74', Franca , Arlan ,
  • 77', Bedeu , Venicio ,
  • 83', Gustavo , Pedro Vitor B. d. S. ,
  • 84', Julio Vaz , Igor Morais ,
  • 88', 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Serra Branca
28.2%
Draw
31.5%
Botafogo PB
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 30.1% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 30.5% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Serra Branca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serra Branca's form might have worsened.
  • Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botafogo PB's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serra Branca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botafogo PB, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Serra Branca - Botafogo PB Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.2
    (2.58)
    2.86
    (2.99)
    2.25
    (2.58)
    10.6%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serra Branca won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Botafogo PB may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Serra Branca won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Serra Branca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Serra Branca - Botafogo PB were as follows:
    22.02.2026 Botafogo PB - Serra Branca 1:1
    29.01.2025 Botafogo PB - Serra Branca 1:1
    30.12.2024 Botafogo PB - Serra Branca 1:0
    02.04.2024 Serra Branca - Botafogo PB 1:2
    30.03.2024 Botafogo PB - Serra Branca 0:0
    Latest results of Serra Branca
    Latest results of Botafogo PB
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Serra Branca (4)Botafogo PB (1)1 : 0
    2Sousa (3)Campinense (2)0 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2