Result
2:2
09/02/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paraibano - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Pingo (Penalty Awarded),
- 23', Abnner Oliveira 🟨,
- 28', Negrito 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Junior Dinde ⚽,
- 45+2', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Renan ↓, Guto ↑,
- 46', Pedro Vitor B. d. S. ↓, Jefferson Victor ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Jadson ⚽,
- 60', Victor Ferraz ↓, Igor ↑,
- 60', Marcelo Toscano ↓, Diego Ceara ↑,
- 62', Tadeu ↓, Felipe Araujo ↑,
- 62', Rodriguinho ↓, Riquelme ↑,
- 68', 2 - 2, Felipe Araujo ⚽,
- 69', 🟨,
- 75', Gustavo ↓, David Peninha ↑,
- 75', Venicio ↓, Bedeu ↑,
- 76', Abnner Oliveira ↓, Clebson ↑,
- 76', Negrito ↓, De Araujo F. ↑,
- 90+1', Riquelme 🟨,
Chances of winning
Serra Branca
54.2% | Draw
27% | Nacional de Patos
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serra Branca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Nacional de Patos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Serra Branca - Nacional de Patos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.65) |
3.33 ↓
(3.5) |
4.88 ↑
(4.7) |
10.8%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Serra Branca - Nacional de Patos?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Nacional de Patos (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional de Patos (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).
- Serra Branca is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Nacional de Patos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Serra Branca is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Serra Branca will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Serra Branca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Serra Branca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Serra Branca won against Nacional de Patos?
Serra Branca has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional de Patos won against Serra Branca?
Nacional de Patos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Serra Branca - Nacional de Patos were as follows:
13.02.2025
Serra Branca
-
Nacional de Patos
2:2
24.02.2024
Serra Branca
-
Nacional de Patos
1:1
13.02.2023
Serra Branca
-
Nacional de Patos
1:1
Latest results of Serra Branca
Latest results of Nacional de Patos
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Serra Branca (4) | Botafogo PB (1) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Sousa (3) | Campinense (2) | 0 : 1 |
Final
