Result
16/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paraibano - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Marcelo 🟨,
- 45+7', Iranilson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Paulo Fales ↓, Vidmar ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Jean Martim (Own goal),
- 57', Victor Ferraz ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 57', Feijao ↓, Cal Rodrigues ↑,
- 57', Carlos Renato ↓, Kadu ↑,
- 70', Luan Rodrigues ↓, Patrik ↑,
- 70', Ian Augusto ↓, Wellisson ↑,
- 71', Iury Tanque ↓, Gabriel Morbeck ↑,
- 82', Felipe Jacare 🟨,
- 85', Wellington Nunes ↓, Elielton ↑,
- 85', Felipe Jacare ↓, Joao Rafael ↑,
- 90', Everton 🟨,
- 90+3', Diego Ceara ↓, Bruno Matos ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Jean Martim ⚽,
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, Gabriel Morbeck (Pen),
- 1, Wellisson (Pen),
- 2, Charles (Pen),
- 2, Patrik (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 3, Iranilson (Pen),
- 4, Wanderson (Pen),
- 4, Elielton (Pen),
- 5, Everton (Pen),
- 5, Bruno Matos (Pen),
Chances of winning
Sousa
50% | Draw
28.2% | Serra Branca
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Serra Branca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Sousa - Serra Branca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.98) |
3.24 ↑
(3.1) |
4.19 ↑
(3.6) |
9.4%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Sousa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Serra Branca is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Sousa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Serra Branca have a series of home games.
- Sousa will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Sousa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sousa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Sousa won against Serra Branca?
Sousa has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Serra Branca won against Sousa?
Serra Branca has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sousa - Serra Branca were as follows:
09.03.2025
Serra Branca
-
Sousa
1:1
16.01.2025
Sousa
-
Serra Branca
2:0
28.01.2024
Sousa
-
Serra Branca
1:0
14.01.2023
Serra Branca
-
Sousa
1:2
Latest results of Serra Branca
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Sousa (1) | Serra Branca (4) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Botafogo PB (2) | Treze PB (3) | 0 : 0, 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sousa (1) | Botafogo PB (2) | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
