Serra Macaense vs Paraty – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
12/10/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca B2 - Round 4

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 62', 1 - 1, ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, ,
  • 90+10', 🟥,
  • 90+12', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Serra Macaense
37.6%
Draw
29.6%
Paraty
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 31.5% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Serra Macaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serra Macaense's form might have worsened.
  • Paraty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paraty's recent form is better than expected.
  • Serra Macaense - Paraty Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.15)
    3.09
    (2.95)
    2.8
    (3.68)
    9.3%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 5).
    • Paraty has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Paraty may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Serra Macaense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Serra Macaense
    03.11.2024 Zinza - Serra Macaense 0:0
    28.10.2024 Serra Macaense - Rio São Paulo Serra Macaense awarded
    Latest results of Paraty
    06.10.2025 Paraty - Belford Roxo 0:1
    04.09.2025 Paraty - Santa Cruz RJ 2:0
    31.08.2025 Santa Cruz RJ - Paraty 2:1
    28.08.2025 Paraty - União Central 0:0
    24.08.2025 União Central - Paraty 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Santa Cruz RJMacae2 : 2, 0 : 2
    2Belford RoxoGoytacaz1 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1MacaeGoytacaz1 : 4, 1 : 1