Serra vs Estrela do Norte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba Serra - Estrela do Norte
Result
1:1
02/03/2024 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: CAPIXABA - ROUND 9

Chances of winning


Serra
53.4%
Draw
26.5%
Estrela do Norte
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 30.3% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 27.2% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serra's performance.
  • Estrela do Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estrela do Norte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serra that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela do Norte than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estrela do Norte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Serra - Estrela do Norte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (2.3)
    3.42
    (3)
    4.53
    (3)
    10.3%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 and 10).
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Serra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Serra won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Serra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Serra - Estrela do Norte were as follows:
    19.01.2023 Serra - Estrela do Norte 1:0
    Latest results of Serra
    21.02.2024 Porto Vitória - Serra 2:1
    16.02.2024 Serra - Rio Branco-VN 0:1
    07.02.2024 Noroeste - Serra 5:1
    02.02.2024 Serra - Jaguare 5:0
    30.01.2024 Nova Venécia - Serra 1:1
    Latest results of Estrela do Norte
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Desportiva Ferroviaria (1)Vilavelhense (8)2 : 1, 4 : 1
    2Capixaba SC (4)Rio Branco ES (5)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    3Rio Branco-VN (3)Vitoria ES (6)0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Real Noroeste (2)Porto Vitoria (7)1 : 1, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Desportiva Ferroviaria (1)Rio Branco ES (5)0 : 1, 2 : 2
    2Vitoria ES (6)Porto Vitoria (7)0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Rio Branco ES (5)Porto Vitoria (7)2 : 0, 0 : 1