Result
3:4
25/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Espirito Santo - Round 10
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 66', 1 - 4, ⚽,
- 67', 2 - 4, ⚽,
- 73', 3 - 4, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Noroeste 62.5% | Draw 21.2% | Serra 16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-17%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noroeste that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Noroeste - Serra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.45 (1.45) |
4.26 ↑ (4.1) |
5.57 ↓ (6.06) |
10.6% (9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- Noroeste is Qualified for Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 2.
- Noroeste is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Serra has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Noroeste may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Noroeste is a strong favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Noroeste won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Noroeste won against Serra?
Noroeste has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Serra won against Noroeste?
Serra has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Noroeste - Serra were as follows:
06.07.2024
Serra
-
Noroeste
2:2
11.05.2024
Noroeste
-
Serra
0:0
07.02.2024
Noroeste
-
Serra
5:1
24.03.2023
Noroeste
-
Serra
1:0
17.03.2023
Serra
-
Noroeste
2:1
Latest results of Noroeste
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals1 | Vitoria ES (1) | Vilavelhense (8) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
2 | Real Noroeste (4) | Capixaba SC (5) | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
3 | Porto Vitoria (2) | Serra (7) | 3 : 0, 2 : 1 |
4 | Desportiva Ferroviaria (3) | Rio Branco-VN (6) | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals1 | Vitoria ES (1) | Real Noroeste (4) | 0 : 0 |
2 | Porto Vitoria (2) | Desportiva Ferroviaria (3) | 0 : 1 |
Final