Noroeste vs Serra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo Noroeste - Serra
Result
3:4
25/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Espirito Santo - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 25', 1 - 0, ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, ,
  • 30', 1 - 2, ,
  • 45', 1 - 3, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 66', 1 - 4, ,
  • 67', 2 - 4, ,
  • 73', 3 - 4, ,

Chances of winning


Noroeste
62.5%
Draw
21.2%
Serra
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 22.2% 15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 16.1% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-17%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noroeste that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Noroeste - Serra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.45)
    4.26
    (4.1)
    5.57
    (6.06)
    10.6%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • Noroeste is Qualified for Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 2.
    • Noroeste is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Serra has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Noroeste may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Noroeste is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Noroeste won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Noroeste - Serra were as follows:
    06.07.2024 Serra - Noroeste 2:2
    11.05.2024 Noroeste - Serra 0:0
    07.02.2024 Noroeste - Serra 5:1
    24.03.2023 Noroeste - Serra 1:0
    17.03.2023 Serra - Noroeste 2:1
    Latest results of Noroeste
    07.06.2025 Noroeste - Capixaba SC 0:1
    10.05.2025 Sport Capixaba - Noroeste 2:1
    07.05.2025 Noroeste - Porto Vitória 1:1
    26.04.2025 Vitória ES - Noroeste 2:1
    Latest results of Serra
    15.06.2025 Vilavelhense - Serra 2:1
    07.06.2025 Sport Capixaba - Serra 2:2
    04.06.2025 Serra - Porto Vitória 2:3
    25.05.2025 Vitória ES - Serra 4:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Vitoria ES (1)Vilavelhense (8)1 : 1, 3 : 0
    2Real Noroeste (4)Capixaba SC (5)3 : 1, 0 : 1
    3Porto Vitoria (2)Serra (7)3 : 0, 2 : 1
    4Desportiva Ferroviaria (3)Rio Branco-VN (6)2 : 0, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Vitoria ES (1)Real Noroeste (4)0 : 0
    2Porto Vitoria (2)Desportiva Ferroviaria (3)0 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2