Noroeste vs Serra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/01/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Capixaba - Round 3

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
57
Shots on target
34
Corner kicks
66
Yellow cards
62
Total shots
57
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
23
Corner kicks
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Rossales 🟨,
  • 30', Simao M. 🟨,
  • 36', (Penalty Awarded),
  • 42', Patrick (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', Ribeiro S. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 0, David Lima ,
  • 60', Walney 🟨,
  • 66', Ribeiro S. , Alexandre ,
  • 66', Erlon , Guilherme Brito ,
  • 66', 🟨,
  • 68', Guilherme Brito 🟨,
  • 72', 1 - 1, ,
  • 77', Romulo 🟨,
  • 83', Gabriel Lisboa 🟨,

Chances of winning


Noroeste
23.4%
Draw
27.7%
Serra
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 25% 20.2%

Noroeste - Serra Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.93
(1.67)
3.32
(3.66)
1.88
(4.53)
8.8%
(9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Noroeste - Serra?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Serra (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Serra will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Serra will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Serra (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 2.
    • Noroeste may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Noroeste won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Noroeste - Serra were as follows:
    25.06.2025 Noroeste - Serra 3:4
    06.07.2024 Serra - Noroeste 2:2
    11.05.2024 Noroeste - Serra 0:0
    07.02.2024 Noroeste - Serra 5:1
    24.03.2023 Noroeste - Serra 1:0
    Latest results of Noroeste
    18.01.2026 Rio Branco-VN - Noroeste 2:2
    26.07.2025 Vitória ES - Noroeste 2:0
    19.07.2025 Noroeste - Vitória ES 0:0
    14.07.2025 Noroeste - Capixaba SC 3:1
    Latest results of Serra
    13.01.2026 Rio Branco AC ES - Serra 0:0
    11.10.2025 Serra - Forte Rio Bananal 1:0
    03.10.2025 Serra - Linhares 3:2
    27.09.2025 Linhares - Serra 0:0
    Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria ES ✔ 852112:3917
    2Serra ✔ 84229:4514
    3Vilavelhense ✔ 84138:9-113
    4Rio Branco ES ✔ 83328:4412
    5Forte82515:3211
    6Porto Vitoria82426:5110
    7Capixaba SC83146:11-510
    8Desportiva Ferroviaria82249:11-28
    9Real Noroeste82247:13-68
    10Rio Branco-VN ✔ 80446:13-74

          Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Capixaba 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vitoria ES is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Serra is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Vilavelhense is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Rio Branco ES is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Rio Branco-VN is Relegated to Capixaba 2