Result
3:1
21/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Capixaba - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | TV Record |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Rian Felipe ⚽,
- 12', 2 - 0, Victor Rangel ⚽,
- 25', 2 - 1, Knupp ⚽,
- 27', Rian Felipe 🟨,
- 30', Jherlison 🟨,
- 40', Athirson ↓, Gama ↑,
- 44', Pedro Felipe 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', 🟥,
- 90+7', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Porto Vitória
44.3% | Draw
31.6% | Serra
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto Vitória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra than the current prediction. (+1%)
Porto Vitória - Serra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(2.02) |
2.86 ↓
(3.13) |
3.75 ↑
(3.41) |
10.6%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto Vitória won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Porto Vitória could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Porto Vitória won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Porto Vitória won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto Vitória won against Serra?
Porto Vitória has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Serra won against Porto Vitória?
Serra has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto Vitória - Serra were as follows:
03.02.2026
Porto Vitória
-
Serra
0:1
15.07.2025
Porto Vitória
-
Serra
3:0
08.07.2025
Serra
-
Porto Vitória
1:2
04.06.2025
Serra
-
Porto Vitória
2:3
21.02.2024
Porto Vitória
-
Serra
2:1
Latest results of Porto Vitória
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Rio Branco ES (4) | Porto Vitoria (5) | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES (1) | Forte (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense (3) | Desportiva Ferroviaria (6) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Serra (2) | Real Noroeste (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Porto Vitoria | Vitoria ES | 6 : 1, 0 : 4 |
| 2 | Vilavelhense | Serra | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Final
