Result
11/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Espirito Santo - Round 1
Chances of winning
Serra
41.8% | Draw
26.8% | Porto Vitória
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Porto Vitória has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (-3%)
Serra - Porto Vitória Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.22) |
3.44 ↑
(3.15) |
2.93 ↓
(3.01) |
8.6%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-3. Aggregate: 3-4. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serra won 2.
- Serra is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Porto Vitória's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Porto Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Serra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Serra won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Serra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Serra won against Porto Vitória?
Serra has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto Vitória won against Serra?
Porto Vitória has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Serra - Porto Vitória were as follows:
28.03.2026
Serra
-
Porto Vitória
2:1
21.03.2026
Porto Vitória
-
Serra
3:1
03.02.2026
Porto Vitória
-
Serra
0:1
15.07.2025
Porto Vitória
-
Serra
3:0
08.07.2025
Serra
-
Porto Vitória
1:2
Latest results of Porto Vitória
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Serra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Rio Branco ES | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Capixaba SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Rio Branco-VN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Vilavelhense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Porto Vitoria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Sport-ES | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Audax Sao Mateus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
