Serra vs Rio Branco-VN – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
31/01/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Capixaba - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
65
Shots on target
22
Corner kicks
33
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
11
Total shots
65
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
43
Corner kicks
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Weverton , Joao Torres ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Conrado , Edson Mika ,
  • 55', Lucas J. 🟥,
  • 65', Walney , Chico ,
  • 65', Marcudinho , Bruno Paixao ,
  • 65', Diego Augusto 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Patrick ,
  • 68', Bruno , Victor Hugo ,
  • 68', Guilherme Teixeira , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 76', Joao Torres , Rafael Sayao ,
  • 76', Caldeira I. , Douglas Zielke ,
  • 76', Dandan , Fabio Magrao ,
  • 84', Pepeu , Hygor ,
  • 87', Fabio Magrao 🟨,
  • 90+4', Fabio Magrao 🟨,

Chances of winning


Serra
51.3%
Draw
28.1%
Rio Branco-VN
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 29.6% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 28.5% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serra's performance.
  • Rio Branco-VN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Branco-VN might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serra that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco-VN than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Branco-VN could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Serra - Rio Branco-VN Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (2.14)
    3.26
    (3.09)
    4.44
    (3.3)
    9.3%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Serra - Rio Branco-VN?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Serra will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Rio Branco-VN will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Serra (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Rio Branco-VN may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Serra might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Serra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Serra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Serra - Rio Branco-VN were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Serra - Rio Branco-VN 0:1
    16.02.2024 Serra - Rio Branco-VN 0:1
    Latest results of Serra
    28.01.2026 Forte Rio Bananal - Serra 2:0
    25.01.2026 Serra - Capixaba SC 3:0
    22.01.2026 Noroeste - Serra 1:1
    13.01.2026 Rio Branco AC ES - Serra 0:0
    Latest results of Rio Branco-VN
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rio Branco ES (4)Porto Vitoria (5)0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Vitoria ES (1)Forte (8)4 : 1, 1 : 1
    3Vilavelhense (3)Desportiva Ferroviaria (6)1 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Serra (2)Real Noroeste (7)1 : 0, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Porto VitoriaVitoria ES
    2VilavelhenseSerra

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2