Result
1:0
31/01/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Weverton ↓, Joao Torres ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Conrado ↓, Edson Mika ↑,
- 55', Lucas J. 🟥,
- 65', Walney ↓, Chico ↑,
- 65', Marcudinho ↓, Bruno Paixao ↑,
- 65', Diego Augusto 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 0, Patrick ⚽,
- 68', Bruno ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
- 68', Guilherme Teixeira ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 76', Joao Torres ↓, Rafael Sayao ↑,
- 76', Caldeira I. ↓, Douglas Zielke ↑,
- 76', Dandan ↓, Fabio Magrao ↑,
- 84', Pepeu ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 87', Fabio Magrao 🟨,
- 90+4', Fabio Magrao 🟨,
Chances of winning
Serra 51.3% | Draw 28.1% | Rio Branco-VN 20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serra's performance.Rio Branco-VN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Branco-VN might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serra that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco-VN than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Branco-VN could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Serra - Rio Branco-VN Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↓ (2.14) |
3.26 ↑ (3.09) |
4.44 ↑ (3.3) |
9.3% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Serra - Rio Branco-VN?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Serra will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Rio Branco-VN will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Serra (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Rio Branco-VN may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Serra might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Serra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Serra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Serra won against Rio Branco-VN?
Serra has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Branco-VN won against Serra?
Rio Branco-VN has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Serra - Rio Branco-VN were as follows:
02.05.2025
Serra
-
Rio Branco-VN
0:1
16.02.2024
Serra
-
Rio Branco-VN
0:1
Latest results of Rio Branco-VN
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Rio Branco ES (4) | Porto Vitoria (5) | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES (1) | Forte (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense (3) | Desportiva Ferroviaria (6) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Serra (2) | Real Noroeste (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Porto Vitoria | Vitoria ES | |
| 2 | Vilavelhense | Serra | |
Final