Result
1:0
09/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Arronches Benfica 57.8% | Draw 29.5% | Sertanense 12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arronches Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arronches Benfica's form might have worsened.Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arronches Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Arronches Benfica - Sertanense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.59 ↑ (1.41) |
3.13 ↓ (4) |
7.24 ↓ (7.27) |
8.5% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- Arronches Benfica in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Sertanense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Arronches Benfica is absolute favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Arronches Benfica to win the game is with odds 1.37.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Arronches Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Arronches Benfica won against Sertanense?
Arronches Benfica has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sertanense won against Arronches Benfica?
Sertanense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arronches Benfica - Sertanense were as follows:
10.11.2024
Sertanense
-
Arronches Benfica
0:0
15.01.2023
Sertanense
-
Arronches Benfica
0:1
Latest results of Arronches Benfica
Latest results of Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 30:8 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 32:22 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Uniao Da Serra | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 32:19 | 13 | 40 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 30:12 | 18 | 38 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 33 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 31 |
| 8 | Peniche | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:32 | -6 | 27 |
| 9 | Lajense | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 26 |
| 10 | Fatima | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 25 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:28 | -13 | 23 |
| 12 | Electrico | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 31:55 | -24 | 19 |
| 13 | Samora Correia | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 17 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 21:40 | -19 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation