Result
2:1
29/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Os Marialvas 60.4% | Draw 25.1% | Sertanense 14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Os Marialvas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-1%)
Os Marialvas - Sertanense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↑ (1.45) |
3.63 ↓ (3.88) |
6.31 ↓ (6.5) |
9.6% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Relegation).
- Sertanense is Relegated to
- Marialvas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Sertanense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Marialvas is the unquestionable favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Marialvas to win the game is with odds 1.49.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Marialvas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
How many head-to-head matches has Os Marialvas won against Sertanense?
Os Marialvas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sertanense won against Os Marialvas?
Sertanense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Os Marialvas - Sertanense were as follows:
08.12.2024
Sertanense
-
Os Marialvas
1:1
Latest results of Os Marialvas
Latest results of Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 35:19 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Mortagua | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 32 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 23:11 | 12 | 31 |
| 6 | Uniao Da Serra | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Peniche | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 9 | Fatima | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | Lajense | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 22 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 13:25 | -12 | 17 |
| 13 | SC Lusitania | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 16 |
| 14 | Electrico | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 23:47 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation