Os Marialvas vs Sertanense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Os Marialvas - Sertanense
Result
2:1
29/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 40', 1 - 0, ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Os Marialvas
60.4%
Draw
25.1%
Sertanense
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 23.4% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6% 22.3% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Os Marialvas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Os Marialvas - Sertanense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.45)
    3.63
    (3.88)
    6.31
    (6.5)
    9.6%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Relegation).
    • Sertanense is Relegated to
    • Marialvas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Sertanense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Marialvas is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Marialvas to win the game is with odds 1.49.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Marialvas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Os Marialvas - Sertanense were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Sertanense - Os Marialvas 1:1
    Latest results of Os Marialvas
    09.03.2025 Os Marialvas - Marinhense 2:1
    02.03.2025 Peniche - Os Marialvas 0:0
    16.02.2025 Alcains - Os Marialvas 0:2
    09.02.2025 Os Marialvas - Pombal 1:1
    Latest results of Sertanense
    02.03.2025 Sertanense - Elvas 0:0
    23.02.2025 Fatima - Sertanense 1:1
    16.02.2025 Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro 1:0
    09.02.2025 Alverca B - Sertanense 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Lusitano GCVitoria Guimaraes B2 : 1