Result
3:1
15/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 30
- Referee: Gianforte N. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (361/438) | 87% (406/469) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (361/438) | 87% (406/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 44% (14/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (58/94) | 76% (89/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -1.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', Omeragic B. ↓, Daniliuc F. ↑,
- 45', 1 - 0, Schmid D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', Allix T. 🟨,
- 48', 2 - 0, Metinho ⚽,
- 56', Ishuayed Sanchez M. ↓, Lopes T. ↑,
- 56', Allix T. ↓, Mendes H. ↑,
- 61', Mendes H. 🟨,
- 71', Koloto G. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
- 71', Salah I. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
- 74', Aye F. ↓, Mraz S. ↑,
- 74', Stevanovic M. ↓, Guillemenot J. ↑,
- 79', Koindredi K. ↓, Leroy L. ↑,
- 79', Shaqiri X. ↓, Bacanin A. ↑,
- 81', Douline D. ↓, Fomba L. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Mraz S. ⚽, Kadile J. (A),
- 90', 3 - 1, Metinho ⚽, Leroy L. (A),
Chances of winning
Basel
41.8% | Draw
25.8% | Servette
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Servette has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Servette than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Basel - Servette Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.06) |
3.61 ↓
(3.81) |
2.9 ↓
(3.21) |
6.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Basel - Servette?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Servette will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Basel (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Basel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Basel could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Basel: Daniliuc F.
(Injury)
Kaio Eduardo
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Servette: Bronn D.
(Inactive)
Mazikou B.
(Yellow Cards)
Severin Y.
(Injury)
Srdanovic L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Basel: Shaqiri X.
(Injury)
Tsunemoto K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Servette: Frick J.
(Hip Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:22. (average 2.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:9. (average 2.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Servette?
Basel has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Servette won against Basel?
Servette has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basel - Servette were as follows:
20.12.2025
Basel
-
Servette
1:1
05.10.2025
Servette
-
Basel
0:3
04.05.2025
Basel
-
Servette
5:1
09.02.2025
Servette
-
Basel
2:1
24.11.2024
Basel
-
Servette
3:1
Latest results of Servette
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 71:33 | 38 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Lugano ✔ | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 47:37 | 10 | 50 |
| 4 | Basel ✔ | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 45:39 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Sion | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 60:55 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Luzern | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 58:56 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Lausanne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 45:49 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 | Servette ✔ | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 48:56 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 34:80 | -46 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
