Result
1:1
20/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 19
- Referee: Wolfensberger S. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 6 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (471/548) | 78% (287/369) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (471/548) | 78% (287/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (31/53) | 33% (17/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (90/127) | 68% (73/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/27) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Guillemenot J. ⚽,
- 33', Cognat T. 🟨,
- 42', Otele P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Leroy L. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
- 46', Broschinski M. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
- 51', Allix T. 🟨,
- 60', Otele P. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
- 60', Vouilloz N. ↓, Ruegg K. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Traore B. ⚽, Schmid D. (A),
- 67', Jallow A. ↓, Miguel M. ↑,
- 67', Allix T. ↓, Magnin T. ↑,
- 68', Rouiller S. 🟨,
- 83', Guillemenot J. ↓, Mraz S. ↑,
- 83', Koindredi K. ↓, Kacuri D. ↑,
- 85', Ishuayed Sanchez M. 🟨,
- 88', Ishuayed Sanchez M. ↓, Fomba L. ↑,
- 90+4', Salah I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Basel
51.4% | Draw
24.8% | Servette
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basel's form might have worsened.Servette has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Servette's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Servette than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Servette, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Basel - Servette Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.56) |
3.9 ↓
(4.24) |
4.05 ↓
(4.95) |
2%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Basel - Servette?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Servette will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basel: 75.7% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Basel (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Basel (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Basel (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Basel (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Basel will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Basel (votes: 9 - 90%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 4.
- Basel is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Servette has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Servette may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Basel is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Basel: Agbonifo J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Servette: Antunes A.
(Injury)
Bronn D.
(International duty)
Frick J.
(Injury)
Mazikou B.
(Yellow Cards)
Severin Y.
(Inactive)
Srdanovic L.
(Injury)
Varela K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Basel: Metinho
(Injury)
Tsunemoto K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Servette: Aye F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 43:22. (average 2.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:8. (average 2.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Servette?
Basel has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Servette won against Basel?
Servette has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basel - Servette were as follows:
05.10.2025
Servette
-
Basel
0:3
04.05.2025
Basel
-
Servette
5:1
09.02.2025
Servette
-
Basel
2:1
24.11.2024
Basel
-
Servette
3:1
11.08.2024
Servette
-
Basel
0:6
Latest results of Servette
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 26 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 60:28 | 32 | 61 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 47 |
| 3 | Lugano | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 43:31 | 12 | 46 |
| 4 | Sion | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 39:30 | 9 | 40 |
| 5 | Basel | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 39:34 | 5 | 40 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 52:52 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Luzern | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 52:49 | 3 | 33 |
| 8 | Zurich | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 31 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Servette | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 44:51 | -7 | 28 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 34:47 | -13 | 21 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 29:75 | -46 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
