Result
2:3
19/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | FEF TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Bujan U. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 52', Bujan U. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 1, Aznar D. ⚽,
- 64', Uriarte K. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
- 64', Bujan U. ↓, Bittor ↑,
- 66', 🟨,
- 74', 🟨,
- 76', Valino A. ↓, Revilla A. ↑,
- 76', Santiago P. ↓, Txoperena U. ↑,
- 78', Martinez Ortiz L. ↓, Samperio J. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Jelbat A. ⚽,
- 80', Garai G. ↓, Relu ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Relu ⚽,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 3, Garcia B. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Barakaldo
46.9% | Draw
29% | Sestao
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barakaldo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Barakaldo - Sestao Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.87) |
3.2 ↑
(3.13) |
3.83 ↓
(4.27) |
8.4%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 2.
- Barakaldo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Sestao is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Barakaldo is a favorite.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:8 (average 1.4:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Barakaldo won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Sestao?
Barakaldo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sestao won against Barakaldo?
Sestao has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - Sestao were as follows:
23.11.2024
Sestao
-
Barakaldo
0:1
24.08.2022
Sestao
-
Barakaldo
1:1
Latest results of Barakaldo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 50:17 | 33 | 63 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 44 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | Zamora | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Lugo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 28:28 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Racing Club Ferrol | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38:39 | -1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 41:49 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 30:39 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 27:38 | -11 | 30 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 26 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
