Sestao vs Calahorra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Copa Federacion Sestao - Calahorra
Result
1:0 penalties
25/09/2024 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Copa Federacion - 1/16-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 113', Javi Bueno 🟥,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Sestao
60.2%
Draw
25.8%
Calahorra
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 27.4% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 25.9% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sestao's performance.
  • Calahorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sestao that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calahorra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sestao - Calahorra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.68)
    3.49
    (3.32)
    6.47
    (4.94)
    10.8%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Sestao is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Calahorra is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Sestao could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Calahorra have a series of home games.
    • In this match Sestao is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Sestao
    21.09.2024 Sestao - FC Andorra 0:1
    14.09.2024 Real Sociedad B - Sestao 0:1
    08.09.2024 Sestao - Lugo 0:1
    Latest results of Calahorra
    15.09.2024 Calahorra - Anguiano 1:1
    01.09.2024 Calahorra - SD Logroñés 1:4
    07.08.2024 Calahorra - Numancia 1:1
    31.07.2024 Calahorra - Leonesa 1:1
    Draw
    2024

    1/16-finals
    1CD ExtremaduraPrincipe Alfonso5 : 0
    2UCAM MurciaPozoblanco3 : 0
    3MelillaXerez D.F.C.1 : 0
    4ManchaCiudad Cieza2 : 3
    5Las RozasMensajero2 : 1
    6Atl. TordesillasPuertollano C.F.1 : 2
    7CazalegasUnion Adarve2 : 1
    8YaizaSanta Marta Tormes1 : 2
    9VareaLugo1 : 5
    10SestaoCalahorra1 : 0
    11Real AvilesLealtad0 : 2
    12VimenorCompostela0 : 1
    13PoblenseIzarra4 : 2
    14MurciaSabadell1 : 2
    15TerrassaLa Nucia1 : 2
    16ManacorCaspe1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1CD ExtremaduraUCAM Murcia2 : 1
    2MelillaCiudad Cieza0 : 1
    3Las RozasPuertollano C.F.1 : 0
    4CazalegasSanta Marta Tormes4 : 3
    5LugoSestao0 : 1
    6LealtadCompostela0 : 2
    7PoblenseSabadell2 : 1
    8La NuciaManacor1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1CD ExtremaduraCiudad Cieza2 : 1
    2Las RozasCazalegas3 : 2
    3SestaoCompostela0 : 1
    4PoblenseLa Nucia1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1CD ExtremaduraLas Rozas1 : 0
    2CompostelaPoblense3 : 2

    Final
    1CD ExtremaduraCompostela2 : 1