Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 65', 1 - 0, Prat M. ⚽,
- 73', 1 - 1, Erdozia O. ⚽,
- 90+1', Camara Hermida A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Ebro
29.6% | Draw
31.4% | Sestao
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ebro's form might have worsened.Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sestao's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ebro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sestao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ebro - Sestao Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(2.47) |
2.92 ↓
(2.98) |
2.35 ↓
(2.71) |
9.1%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)
- Ebro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sestao is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that Ebro will win today's game, with odds of 2.85.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ebro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Ebro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ebro won against Sestao?
Ebro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sestao won against Ebro?
Sestao has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ebro - Sestao were as follows:
26.10.2025
Sestao
-
Ebro
1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | R. Union | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 46:24 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 32:15 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | UD Logrones | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 59:28 | 31 | 47 |
| 4 | Tudelano | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 46:32 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Utebo FC | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 47:35 | 12 | 45 |
| 6 | Ebro | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 37:25 | 12 | 41 |
| 7 | Eibar B | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 41 |
| 8 | Sestao | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | Amorebieta | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 27:25 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Gernika | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:33 | -5 | 38 |
| 11 | Basconia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 32 |
| 12 | Naxara | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Ejea | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 29:40 | -11 | 30 |
| 14 | SD Logrones | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 19:32 | -13 | 30 |
| 15 | Mutilvera | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 27:46 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | Beasain | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 25 |
| 17 | Alfaro | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22:44 | -22 | 19 |
| 18 | Zaragoza B | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 21:48 | -27 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
