Caldas vs Setúbal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/01/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Caldas
40.7%
Draw
30.5%
Setúbal
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 28.4% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 24.4% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caldas's form might have worsened.
  • Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Setúbal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Setúbal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Caldas - Setúbal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.77)
    3.01
    (3.2)
    3.17
    (4.48)
    9.2%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caldas - Setúbal were as follows:
    17.09.2022 Setúbal - Caldas 1:2
    Latest results of Caldas
    14.01.2023 Moncarapachense - Caldas 1:1
    07.01.2023 Oliveira Hospital - Caldas 2:2
    17.12.2022 Caldas - Fontinhas 4:2
    03.12.2022 Caldas - Sporting Lisbon B 0:2
    27.11.2022 Leiria - Caldas 2:0
    Latest results of Setúbal
    16.01.2023 Setúbal - Fontinhas 2:1
    12.01.2023 Setúbal - Casa Pia 0:1
    17.12.2022 Setúbal - Leiria 0:3
    03.12.2022 Setúbal - Amora 0:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Varzim32014:226
    2Os Belenenses31205:415
    3Vitoria Guimaraes B31113:304
    4Mafra31112:204
    5Academica21013:303
    6Amarante21012:203
    7Santarem21012:203
    8Trofense40222:5-32

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