Severstal Cherepovets vs Ak Bars Kazan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
16/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • KHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2230
Shooting PCT
18.18% (4/22)6.67% (2/30)
Blocked shots
1123
Goalkeeper Saves
2818
Saves PCT
93.33% (28/30)81.82% (18/22)
Penalties
22
PIM
44
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (2/2)
Hits
223
Faceoffs Won
2235
Faceoffs %
38.661.4
Giveaways
148
Takeaways
13
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 0)
  • 12:11, Fisenko M. (2 min),
  • 14:22, 1 - 0, Kamalov N. (G), Tsitsyura V. (A), Chefanov I. (A2)
  • 16:58, 2 - 0, Veryayev D. (G), Reingardt I. (A),
  • 18:11, 3 - 0, Grudinin V. (G), Kazulayev D. (A),
  • 18:11, Arefyev M. , Bilyalov T. ,
  • 18:53, Todd N. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:01, Bilyalov T. , Arefyev M. ,
  • 12:51, 3 - 1, Galimov A. (G), Barabanov A. (A),
  • 13:02, Kamalov N. (2 min),
  • 19:31, 4 - 1, Skorenov A. (G), Ivantsov I. (A), Grudinin V. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 10:28, 4 - 2, Pustozyorov A. (G), Marchenko A. (A), Lyamkin N. (A2)
  • 12:32, Ilyin M. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Severstal Cherepovets
39.1%
Draw
23.2%
Ak Bars Kazan
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 22.6% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 21.9% 39.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Severstal Cherepovets - Ak Bars Kazan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.51)
    4
    (4.3)
    2.47
    (2.51)
    7.5%
    (2.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Severstal Cherepovets - Ak Bars Kazan?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ak Bars will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Severstal is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Ak Bars is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 3.
    • Recent form of Severstal has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ak Bars is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Severstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Ak Bars will win today's game, with odds of 2.51.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 52:56. (average 2.6:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Severstal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 2.9:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Severstal Cherepovets - Ak Bars Kazan were as follows:
    30.12.2025 Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets 4:3
    30.12.2024 Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets 2:3
    23.11.2024 Severstal Cherepovets - Ak Bars Kazan 7:5
    23.08.2024 Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets 3:0
    05.12.2023 Severstal Cherepovets - Ak Bars Kazan 4:1
    Latest results of Ak Bars Kazan
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl (1)Spartak Moscow (8)4 : 1
    2Yekaterinburg (4)Salavat Ufa (5)2 : 4
    3Avangard Omsk (2)Niznekamsk (7)4 : 1
    4CSKA Moscow (4)SKA St. Petersburg (5)4 : 1
    5Magnitogorsk (1)Novosibirsk (8)4 : 1
    6Cherepovets (3)Nizhny Novgorod (6)1 : 4
    7Dinamo Minsk (2)Dynamo Moscow (7)4 : 0
    8Bars Kazan (3)Tractor Chelyabinsk (6)4 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl (1)Salavat Ufa (5)
    2Avangard Omsk (2)CSKA Moscow (4)
    3Magnitogorsk (1)Nizhny Novgorod (6)
    4Dinamo Minsk (2)Bars Kazan (3)