Ak Bars Kazan vs Severstal Cherepovets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3 penalties
30/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2544
Shooting PCT
12% (3/25)6.82% (3/44)
Blocked Shots
1119
Goalkeeper Saves
4122
Saves PCT
93.18% (41/44)88% (22/25)
Penalties
33
PIM
96
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
01
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)66.67% (2/3)
Hits
184
Faceoffs Won
3421
Faceoffs %
61.8238.18
Giveaways
3123
Takeaways
71
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 01:12, 0 - 1, Skorenov A. (G), Kamalov N. (A), Ivantsov I. (A2)
  • 10:52, Podshivalov I. (2 min),
  • 11:13, 1 - 1, Chmelevski A. (G), Miller M. (A), Biro B. (A2)
  • 18:14, Alistrov V. (5 min),
  • 18:40, 1 - 2, Liska A. (G), Kamalov N. (A), Gregoire T. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 08:30, Dynyak N. (2 min),
  • 15:56, Fisenko M. (2 min),
  • 19:15, 2 - 2, Alistrov V. (G), Semyonov K. (A), Karpukhin I. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:04, Abrosimov R. (2 min),
  • 05:04, 3 - 2, Semyonov K. (G), Denisenko G. (A), Alistrov V. (A2)
  • 12:48, Grudinin V. (2 min),
  • 13:24, 3 - 3, Liska A. (G), Abrosimov R. (A),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 1)
  • 1, Skorenov A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Chmelevski A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Aimurzin D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Semyonov K. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Liska A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Galimov A. (Penalty Shot),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ak Bars Kazan
47.9%
Draw
22.8%
Severstal Cherepovets
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 22.3% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 21.7% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.99)
    4.2
    (4.36)
    3.26
    (3.35)
    4.6%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ak Bars will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Severstal will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ak Bars (votes: 1 - 50%). Severstal (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 1.
    • Ak Bars is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Severstal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Severstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ak Bars might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 56:50. (average 2.8:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ak Bars won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:27. (average 3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets were as follows:
    30.12.2024 Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets 2:3
    23.11.2024 Severstal Cherepovets - Ak Bars Kazan 7:5
    23.08.2024 Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets 3:0
    05.12.2023 Severstal Cherepovets - Ak Bars Kazan 4:1
    03.10.2023 Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets 1:4
    KHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl ✔ 58299515152:11281
    2Cherepovets ✔ 59279419175:15876
    3Dinamo Minsk ✔ 57295716208:13975
    4Nizhny Novgorod ✔ 58249619167:15572
    5CSKA Moscow57283818141:12670
    6Dynamo Moscow572210421155:14368
    7SKA St. Petersburg56227720160:14765
    8Spartak Moscow57245622166:17164
    9Shanghai581551127144:19151
    10Lada59152735133:20641
    11Sochi56142832115:19940


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Magnitogorsk ✔ 5635858224:15091
    2Avangard Omsk ✔ 57319413194:13584
    3Bars Kazan ✔ 57325515175:13879
    4Yekaterinburg57257421171:14168
    5Salavat Ufa56236423147:14162
    6Niznekamsk58227326148:16161
    7Tractor Chelyabinsk57234624179:17860
    8Novosibirsk591213727141:17757
    9Khabarovsk58174730132:16349
    10Barys Astana591351031131:17446
    11Vladivostok561141031123:17640

          Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lokomotiv Yaroslavl is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cherepovets is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Dinamo Minsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Nizhny Novgorod is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Magnitogorsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Avangard Omsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bars Kazan is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)