Dynamo Moscow vs Severstal Cherepovets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
30/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2519
Shooting PCT
8% (2/25)15.79% (3/19)
Blocked shots
1714
Goalkeeper Saves
1623
Saves PCT
84.21% (16/19)92% (23/25)
Penalties
35
PIM
610
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/5)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)100% (5/5)
Hits
193
Faceoffs Won
3119
Faceoffs %
6238
Giveaways
1410
Takeaways
14
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 03:16, Galimov A. (2 min),
  • 03:16, Davydov T. (2 min),
  • 04:52, Chebykin N. (2 min),
  • 04:52, Sikura D. (2 min),
  • 12:28, 1 - 0, Shvets-Rogovoy A. (G), Comtois M. (A), Der-Arguchintsev S. (A2)
  • 13:17, 2 - 0, Rimashevsky Y. (G),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 03:53, Kamalov N. (2 min),
  • 13:07, Sikura D. (2 min),
  • 13:34, 2 - 1, Skorenov A. (G), Aimurzin D. (A), Kaldis Y. (A2)
  • 17:20, 2 - 2, Liska A. (G), Chefanov I. (A), Abrosimov R. (A2)
  • 17:32, Kvochko I. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 08:20, 2 - 3, Ivantsov I. (G), Grudinin V. (A), Skorenov A. (A2)
  • 09:17, Aimurzin D. (2 min),

Chances of winning


Dynamo Moscow
40.4%
Draw
23.9%
Severstal Cherepovets
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 22.7% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 24.4% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Dynamo Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.19)
    3.94
    (4.18)
    2.64
    (2.8)
    6.1%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Dynamo Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets?
  • Users Predictions: Severstal Cherepovets will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Severstal Cherepovets will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Severstal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Severstal has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 62:36. (average 3.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo M won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 3.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets were as follows:
    19.01.2026 Dynamo Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets 5:4
    03.12.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - Dynamo Moscow 0:1
    30.10.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - Dynamo Moscow 0:3
    23.03.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - Dynamo Moscow 3:2
    14.01.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets 3:2
    Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
    KHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl ✔ 58299515152:11281
    2Cherepovets ✔ 59279419175:15876
    3Dinamo Minsk ✔ 57295716208:13975
    4Nizhny Novgorod ✔ 58249619167:15572
    5CSKA Moscow57283818141:12670
    6Dynamo Moscow572210421155:14368
    7SKA St. Petersburg56227720160:14765
    8Spartak Moscow57245622166:17164
    9Shanghai581551127144:19151
    10Lada59152735133:20641
    11Sochi56142832115:19940


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Magnitogorsk ✔ 5635858224:15091
    2Avangard Omsk ✔ 57319413194:13584
    3Bars Kazan ✔ 57325515175:13879
    4Yekaterinburg57257421171:14168
    5Salavat Ufa56236423147:14162
    6Niznekamsk58227326148:16161
    7Tractor Chelyabinsk57234624179:17860
    8Novosibirsk591213727141:17757
    9Khabarovsk58174730132:16349
    10Barys Astana591351031131:17446
    11Vladivostok561141031123:17640

          Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lokomotiv Yaroslavl is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cherepovets is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Dinamo Minsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Nizhny Novgorod is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Magnitogorsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Avangard Omsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bars Kazan is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)