HC CSKA Moscow vs Severstal Cherepovets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey KHL HC CSKA Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets
Result
3:2
05/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • KHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2223
Shooting PCT
13.64% (3/22)8.7% (2/23)
Blocked Shots
2125
Goalkeeper Saves
2119
Saves PCT
91.3% (21/23)86.36% (19/22)
Penalties
11
PIM
22
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/1)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Hits
133
Faceoffs Won
3114
Faceoffs %
68.8931.11
Giveaways
1729
Takeaways
34
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 07:57, 0 - 1, Grudinin V. (G), Tsitsyura V. (A), Kvochko I. (A2)
  • 13:02, 1 - 1, Poltapov P. (G),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 02:17, 2 - 1, Gurianov D. (G),
  • 05:30, 3 - 1, Buchelnikov D. (G), Drozdov I. (A), Okhotyuk N. (A2)
  • 08:41, Zernov D. (2 min),
  • 17:19, Burenov N. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 12:51, 3 - 2, Tsitsyura V. (G), Ilyin M. (A), Aimurzin D. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


HC CSKA Moscow
54.5%
Draw
21.7%
Severstal Cherepovets
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 19.5% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9% 22.4% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HC CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HC CSKA Moscow's form might have worsened.
  • Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HC CSKA Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Severstal Cherepovets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • HC CSKA Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.53)
    4.32
    (4.75)
    3.93
    (4.7)
    6.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for HC CSKA Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets?
  • Users Predictions: Severstal Cherepovets will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Severstal Cherepovets will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Severstal has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, CSKA is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 68:60. (average 3.4:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 3.4:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HC CSKA Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - HC CSKA Moscow 1:2
    06.02.2025 HC CSKA Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets 3:4
    30.01.2025 HC CSKA Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets 6:1
    21.01.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - HC CSKA Moscow 5:4
    14.09.2024 Severstal Cherepovets - HC CSKA Moscow 4:2
    KHL Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl16822452:3422
    2Shanghai14722341:3520
    3Nizhny Novgorod17631746:5019
    4Cherepovets15900642:3318
    5Dinamo Minsk14622442:3118
    6Spartak Moscow15613545:4617
    7Dynamo Moscow14351541:4117
    8SKA St. Petersburg15514541:4216
    9CSKA Moscow15602741:4514
    10Lada15402930:5910
    11Sochi13221828:409


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Magnitogorsk15922257:3724
    2Avangard Omsk15920458:3822
    3Yekaterinburg17821649:3821
    4Bars Kazan15901542:4219
    5Tractor Chelyabinsk16524548:5418
    6Niznekamsk16621740:4617
    7Khabarovsk14602630:3414
    8Vladivostok12422432:3014
    9Barys Astana16324739:4814
    10Novosibirsk14160731:3814
    11Salavat Ufa13212827:418

          Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)