HC CSKA Moscow vs Severstal Cherepovets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
26/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2819
Shooting PCT
14.29% (4/28)10.53% (2/19)
Blocked shots
1111
Goalkeeper Saves
1724
Saves PCT
89.47% (17/19)85.71% (24/28)
Penalties
12
PIM
57
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)100% (2/2)
Hits
92
Faceoffs Won
3613
Faceoffs %
73.4726.53
Giveaways
923
Takeaways
00
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 02:37, 1 - 0, Karnaukhov P. (G), Drozdov I. (A), Patrikhayev I. (A2)
  • 10:51, 2 - 0, Gurianov D. (G),
  • 10:51, Shostak K. , Skotnikov V. ,
  • 15:37, 2 - 1, Tankov K. (G), Aimurzin D. (A), Ilyin M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 16:33, Gurianov D. (5 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 02:13, Reingardt I. (5 min),
  • 12:24, Grudinin V. (2 min),
  • 15:36, 3 - 1, Drozdov I. (G), Patrikhayev I. (A),
  • 18:23, 4 - 1, Abramov V. (G), Zernov D. (A), Drozdov I. (A2)
  • 19:17, 4 - 2, Tankov K. (G), Ilyin M. (A), Aimurzin D. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


HC CSKA Moscow
42.7%
Draw
24.3%
Severstal Cherepovets
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 22.5% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 22% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HC CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • HC CSKA Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.09)
    3.87
    (4.31)
    2.86
    (3.12)
    6.2%
    (3.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
    What is the prediction for HC CSKA Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Severstal will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Severstal Cherepovets will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Severstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 67:53. (average 3.4:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 3.4:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HC CSKA Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets were as follows:
    23.12.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - HC CSKA Moscow 3:1
    16.11.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - HC CSKA Moscow 4:3
    10.11.2025 HC CSKA Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets 2:0
    05.10.2025 HC CSKA Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets 3:2
    14.09.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - HC CSKA Moscow 1:2
    Latest results of HC CSKA Moscow
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl (1)Spartak Moscow (8)4 : 1
    2Yekaterinburg (4)Salavat Ufa (5)2 : 4
    3Avangard Omsk (2)Niznekamsk (7)4 : 1
    4CSKA Moscow (4)SKA St. Petersburg (5)4 : 1
    5Magnitogorsk (1)Novosibirsk (8)4 : 1
    6Cherepovets (3)Nizhny Novgorod (6)1 : 4
    7Dinamo Minsk (2)Dynamo Moscow (7)4 : 0
    8Bars Kazan (3)Tractor Chelyabinsk (6)4 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl (1)Salavat Ufa (5)
    2Avangard Omsk (2)CSKA Moscow (4)
    3Magnitogorsk (1)Nizhny Novgorod (6)
    4Dinamo Minsk (2)Bars Kazan (3)