Severstal Cherepovets vs Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
15/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3127
Shooting PCT
9.68% (3/31)3.7% (1/27)
Blocked shots
1722
Goalkeeper Saves
2628
Saves PCT
96.3% (26/27)90.32% (28/31)
Penalties
24
PIM
48
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (4/4)
Hits
431
Faceoffs Won
3442
Faceoffs %
44.7455.26
Giveaways
155
Takeaways
23
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 01:06, (2 min),
  • 07:26, 1 - 0, Abrosimov R. (G), Tsitsyura V. (A), Burenov N. (A2)
  • 15:47, 1 - 1, Zhafyarov D. (G),
  • 16:30, Nadvorny M. (2 min),
  • 19:12, 2 - 1, Burenov N. (G), Abrosimov R. (A), Veryayev D. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 08:13, 3 - 1, Kazulayev D. (G), Ivantsov I. (A), Gregoire T. (A2)
  • 19:24, Duszak J. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • 13:27, Aimurzin D. (2 min),
  • 14:08, Belozyorov A. (2 min),
  • 17:43, Shafigullin B. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Severstal Cherepovets
51.3%
Draw
22.1%
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 22.5% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 23.4% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Severstal Cherepovets - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.85)
    4.34
    (4.19)
    3.6
    (3.59)
    4.3%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Severstal Cherepovets - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Neftekhimik will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Severstal: 41.6%98.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Severstal Cherepovets will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 5.
    • Recent performances by Severstal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Neftekhimik's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Severstal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 68:52. (average 3.4:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Severstal won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:25. (average 3.9:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Severstal Cherepovets - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Severstal Cherepovets 0:5
    22.08.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 3:2
    28.01.2025 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Severstal Cherepovets 1:2
    24.12.2024 Severstal Cherepovets - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 4:1
    18.08.2024 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Severstal Cherepovets 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl (1)Spartak Moscow (8)4 : 1
    2Yekaterinburg (4)Salavat Ufa (5)2 : 4
    3Avangard Omsk (2)Niznekamsk (7)4 : 1
    4CSKA Moscow (4)SKA St. Petersburg (5)4 : 1
    5Magnitogorsk (1)Novosibirsk (8)4 : 1
    6Cherepovets (3)Nizhny Novgorod (6)1 : 4
    7Dinamo Minsk (2)Dynamo Moscow (7)4 : 0
    8Bars Kazan (3)Tractor Chelyabinsk (6)4 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl (1)Salavat Ufa (5)4 : 0
    2Avangard Omsk (2)CSKA Moscow (4)3 : 1
    3Magnitogorsk (1)Nizhny Novgorod (6)3 : 1
    4Dinamo Minsk (2)Bars Kazan (3)0 : 4