Result
4:5 OT
21/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 14 | 51 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 28.57% (4/14) | 9.8% (5/51) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 46 | 10 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.2% (46/51) | 71.43% (10/14) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 0% (0/1) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 32 | 9 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 37 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 56.06 | 43.94 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 02:59, Khafizov T. (2 min),
- 04:08, 0 - 1, Ilyin M. (G), Kaldis Y. (A), Skorenov A. (A2)
- 07:00, 0 - 2, Dumbadze D. (G), Kamalov N. (A), Podshivalov I. (A2)
- 09:20, Shvyryov I. (2 min),
- 14:12, 1 - 2, Dedunov P. (G),
- 2nd Period (3 - 0)
- 03:38, 2 - 2, Khafizov T. (G), Volkov A. (A), Khomchenko P. (A2)
- 05:57, 3 - 2, Ellis M. (G), Volkov A. (A),
- 05:57, Shostak K. ↓, Skotnikov V. ↑,
- 13:40, Tankov K. (5 min),
- 16:18, 4 - 2, Ellis M. (G), Khafizov T. (A), Hoefenmayer N. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 00:45, 4 - 3, Kvochko I. (G), Abrosimov R. (A), Liska A. (A2)
- 05:08, Volkov A. (2 min),
- 08:39, 4 - 4, Podshivalov I. (G), Davydov T. (A), Dumbadze D. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 03:58, 4 - 5, Ilyin M. (G), Abrosimov R. (A), Davydov T. (A2)
- 03:59, Khafizov T. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Sochi 21.6% | Draw 21.1% | Severstal Cherepovets 57.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.42 ↑ (4) |
4.55 ↓ (4.67) |
1.67 ↓ (1.77) |
4.5% (2.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Severstal (2.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Severstal (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 0.
- Sochi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Severstal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Severstal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Severstal has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Severstal is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 49:80. (average 2.5:4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 2.7:4.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Severstal Cherepovets?
Sochi has won 5 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Severstal Cherepovets won against Sochi?
Severstal Cherepovets has won 15 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets were as follows:
25.12.2025
Severstal Cherepovets
-
Sochi
4:3
06.11.2025
Sochi
-
Severstal Cherepovets
4:5
09.10.2025
Severstal Cherepovets
-
Sochi
3:0
26.01.2025
Sochi
-
Severstal Cherepovets
3:4
20.12.2024
Severstal Cherepovets
-
Sochi
2:1
Latest results of Severstal Cherepovets
KHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl ✔ | 65 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 176:130 | 93 |
| 2 | Cherepovets ✔ | 65 | 28 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 191:173 | 84 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk ✔ | 65 | 32 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 234:166 | 83 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow ✔ | 65 | 32 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 154:139 | 80 |
| 5 | Nizhny Novgorod ✔ | 65 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 181:179 | 78 |
| 6 | SKA St. Petersburg ✔ | 64 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 185:163 | 77 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow ✔ | 64 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 175:160 | 77 |
| 8 | Spartak Moscow ✔ | 64 | 29 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 196:191 | 74 |
| 9 | Shanghai | 64 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 159:216 | 54 |
| 10 | Lada | 66 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 150:234 | 45 |
| 11 | Sochi | 64 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 134:222 | 44 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Magnitogorsk ✔ | 64 | 36 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 243:170 | 101 |
| 2 | Avangard Omsk ✔ | 65 | 34 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 213:153 | 93 |
| 3 | Bars Kazan ✔ | 64 | 35 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 197:158 | 88 |
| 4 | Yekaterinburg ✔ | 64 | 31 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 195:147 | 82 |
| 5 | Salavat Ufa ✔ | 64 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 26 | 168:164 | 71 |
| 6 | Tractor Chelyabinsk ✔ | 64 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 193:190 | 67 |
| 7 | Niznekamsk ✔ | 65 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 161:180 | 67 |
| 8 | Novosibirsk | 64 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 29 | 150:189 | 62 |
| 9 | Khabarovsk | 64 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 149:179 | 57 |
| 10 | Barys Astana | 65 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 33 | 149:194 | 53 |
| 11 | Vladivostok | 64 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 147:203 | 46 |
Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Cherepovets is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dinamo Minsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
CSKA Moscow is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Nizhny Novgorod is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
SKA St. Petersburg is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dynamo Moscow is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Spartak Moscow is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Magnitogorsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Avangard Omsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Bars Kazan is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Yekaterinburg is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Salavat Ufa is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Tractor Chelyabinsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Niznekamsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)