Sochi vs Severstal Cherepovets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5 OT
21/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
1451
Shooting PCT
28.57% (4/14)9.8% (5/51)
Blocked shots
514
Goalkeeper Saves
4610
Saves PCT
90.2% (46/51)71.43% (10/14)
Penalties
41
PIM
85
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
100% (1/1)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)0% (0/1)
Hits
329
Faceoffs Won
3729
Faceoffs %
56.0643.94
Giveaways
175
Takeaways
33
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 02:59, Khafizov T. (2 min),
  • 04:08, 0 - 1, Ilyin M. (G), Kaldis Y. (A), Skorenov A. (A2)
  • 07:00, 0 - 2, Dumbadze D. (G), Kamalov N. (A), Podshivalov I. (A2)
  • 09:20, Shvyryov I. (2 min),
  • 14:12, 1 - 2, Dedunov P. (G),
  • 2nd Period (3 - 0)
  • 03:38, 2 - 2, Khafizov T. (G), Volkov A. (A), Khomchenko P. (A2)
  • 05:57, 3 - 2, Ellis M. (G), Volkov A. (A),
  • 05:57, Shostak K. , Skotnikov V. ,
  • 13:40, Tankov K. (5 min),
  • 16:18, 4 - 2, Ellis M. (G), Khafizov T. (A), Hoefenmayer N. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 00:45, 4 - 3, Kvochko I. (G), Abrosimov R. (A), Liska A. (A2)
  • 05:08, Volkov A. (2 min),
  • 08:39, 4 - 4, Podshivalov I. (G), Davydov T. (A), Dumbadze D. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 03:58, 4 - 5, Ilyin M. (G), Abrosimov R. (A), Davydov T. (A2)
  • 03:59, Khafizov T. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sochi
21.6%
Draw
21.1%
Severstal Cherepovets
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.3% 20.8% 54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7% 21.1% 54%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.42
    (4)
    4.55
    (4.67)
    1.67
    (1.77)
    4.5%
    (2.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Severstal (2.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Severstal (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 0.
    • Sochi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Severstal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Severstal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Severstal has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Severstal is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 49:80. (average 2.5:4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 2.7:4.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets were as follows:
    25.12.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi 4:3
    06.11.2025 Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets 4:5
    09.10.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi 3:0
    26.01.2025 Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets 3:4
    20.12.2024 Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi 2:1
    Latest results of Sochi
    18.01.2026 Lada Togliatti - Sochi 4:0
    09.01.2026 Sochi - Lada Togliatti 1:4
    07.01.2026 Sochi - Dynamo Moscow 0:3
    KHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl ✔ 58299515152:11281
    2Cherepovets ✔ 59279419175:15876
    3Dinamo Minsk ✔ 57295716208:13975
    4Nizhny Novgorod ✔ 58249619167:15572
    5CSKA Moscow57283818141:12670
    6Dynamo Moscow572210421155:14368
    7SKA St. Petersburg56227720160:14765
    8Spartak Moscow57245622166:17164
    9Shanghai581551127144:19151
    10Lada59152735133:20641
    11Sochi56142832115:19940


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Magnitogorsk ✔ 5635858224:15091
    2Avangard Omsk ✔ 57319413194:13584
    3Bars Kazan ✔ 57325515175:13879
    4Yekaterinburg57257421171:14168
    5Salavat Ufa56236423147:14162
    6Niznekamsk58227326148:16161
    7Tractor Chelyabinsk57234624179:17860
    8Novosibirsk591213727141:17757
    9Khabarovsk58174730132:16349
    10Barys Astana591351031131:17446
    11Vladivostok561141031123:17640

          Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lokomotiv Yaroslavl is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cherepovets is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Dinamo Minsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Nizhny Novgorod is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Magnitogorsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Avangard Omsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bars Kazan is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)