Result
1:5
02/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 40 | 36 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 2.5% (1/40) | 13.89% (5/36) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 31 | 39 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 86.11% (31/36) | 97.5% (39/40) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (4/4) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 58.62 | 41.38 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 3)
- 05:08, 0 - 1, Korostelev N. (G), Mironov A. (A), Biro B. (A2)
- 11:51, 0 - 2, Keane J. (G), Biro B. (A),
- 17:59, 0 - 3, Pivchulin D. (G), Lockhart L. (A), Kniazev A. (A2)
- 17:59, Skotnikov V. ↓, Shostak K. ↑,
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 03:03, Mironov A. (2 min),
- 16:53, 1 - 3, Burenov N. (G), Kamalov N. (A), Chebykin N. (A2)
- 17:07, Mironov A. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 01:31, 1 - 4, Biro B. (G), Lockhart L. (A),
- 11:09, 1 - 5, Rubtsov G. (G), Gutik D. (A), Maltsev M. (A2)
- 15:45, Korostelev N. (2 min),
- 17:55, Mironov A. (2 min),
- 17:55, Ivantsov I. (2 min),
- 19:35, Kaldis Y. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Severstal Cherepovets
40.5% | Draw
24% | Spartak Moscow
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Severstal Cherepovets's form might have worsened.Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Severstal Cherepovets - Spartak Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.03) |
3.92 ↓
(4.33) |
2.66 ↓
(2.99) |
6.1%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Severstal Cherepovets - Spartak Moscow?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Spartak will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Severstal: 41.6% – 98.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Severstal Cherepovets will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 3.
- Recent performances by Severstal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Spartak is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Severstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Severstal has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 58:73. (average 2.9:3.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Severstal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:33. (average 3.7:3.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Severstal Cherepovets won against Spartak Moscow?
Severstal Cherepovets has won 9 of their last 26 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Severstal Cherepovets?
Spartak Moscow has won 17 of their last 26 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Severstal Cherepovets - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
06.01.2026
Severstal Cherepovets
-
Spartak Moscow
1:2
14.11.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Severstal Cherepovets
3:4
11.09.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Severstal Cherepovets
1:2
03.04.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Severstal Cherepovets
5:2
01.04.2025
Severstal Cherepovets
-
Spartak Moscow
5:2
Latest results of Severstal Cherepovets
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
KHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl ✔ | 58 | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 152:112 | 81 |
| 2 | Cherepovets ✔ | 59 | 27 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 175:158 | 76 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk ✔ | 57 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 208:139 | 75 |
| 4 | Nizhny Novgorod ✔ | 58 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 167:155 | 72 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 57 | 28 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 141:126 | 70 |
| 6 | Dynamo Moscow | 57 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 21 | 155:143 | 68 |
| 7 | SKA St. Petersburg | 56 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 160:147 | 65 |
| 8 | Spartak Moscow | 57 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 166:171 | 64 |
| 9 | Shanghai | 58 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 144:191 | 51 |
| 10 | Lada | 59 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 133:206 | 41 |
| 11 | Sochi | 56 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 115:199 | 40 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Magnitogorsk ✔ | 56 | 35 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 224:150 | 91 |
| 2 | Avangard Omsk ✔ | 57 | 31 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 194:135 | 84 |
| 3 | Bars Kazan ✔ | 57 | 32 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 175:138 | 79 |
| 4 | Yekaterinburg | 57 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 171:141 | 68 |
| 5 | Salavat Ufa | 56 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 147:141 | 62 |
| 6 | Niznekamsk | 58 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 26 | 148:161 | 61 |
| 7 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 57 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 179:178 | 60 |
| 8 | Novosibirsk | 59 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 27 | 141:177 | 57 |
| 9 | Khabarovsk | 58 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 132:163 | 49 |
| 10 | Barys Astana | 59 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 131:174 | 46 |
| 11 | Vladivostok | 56 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 123:176 | 40 |
Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Cherepovets is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dinamo Minsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Nizhny Novgorod is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Magnitogorsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Avangard Omsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Bars Kazan is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
