Severstal Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey KHL
Result
1:5
02/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
4036
Shooting PCT
2.5% (1/40)13.89% (5/36)
Blocked shots
155
Goalkeeper Saves
3139
Saves PCT
86.11% (31/36)97.5% (39/40)
Penalties
24
PIM
48
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (4/4)
Hits
1025
Faceoffs Won
3424
Faceoffs %
58.6241.38
Giveaways
226
Takeaways
12
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 3)
  • 05:08, 0 - 1, Korostelev N. (G), Mironov A. (A), Biro B. (A2)
  • 11:51, 0 - 2, Keane J. (G), Biro B. (A),
  • 17:59, 0 - 3, Pivchulin D. (G), Lockhart L. (A), Kniazev A. (A2)
  • 17:59, Skotnikov V. ↓, Shostak K. ↑,
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 03:03, Mironov A. (2 min),
  • 16:53, 1 - 3, Burenov N. (G), Kamalov N. (A), Chebykin N. (A2)
  • 17:07, Mironov A. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 01:31, 1 - 4, Biro B. (G), Lockhart L. (A),
  • 11:09, 1 - 5, Rubtsov G. (G), Gutik D. (A), Maltsev M. (A2)
  • 15:45, Korostelev N. (2 min),
  • 17:55, Mironov A. (2 min),
  • 17:55, Ivantsov I. (2 min),
  • 19:35, Kaldis Y. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Severstal Cherepovets
40.5%		Draw
24%		Spartak Moscow
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 21.8% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 22.5% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Severstal Cherepovets's form might have worsened.
  • Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
    •

    Severstal Cherepovets - Spartak Moscow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.33 ↑
    (2.03)    		 3.92 ↓
    (4.33)    		 2.66 ↓
    (2.99)    		 6.1%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Severstal Cherepovets - Spartak Moscow?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Spartak will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Severstal: 41.6% – 98.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Severstal Cherepovets will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 3.
    • Recent performances by Severstal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Spartak is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Severstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Severstal has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 58:73. (average 2.9:3.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Severstal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:33. (average 3.7:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Severstal Cherepovets - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
    06.01.2026 Severstal Cherepovets - Spartak Moscow 1:2
    14.11.2025 Spartak Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets 3:4
    11.09.2025 Spartak Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets 1:2
    03.04.2025 Spartak Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets 5:2
    01.04.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - Spartak Moscow 5:2
    Latest results of Severstal Cherepovets
    30.01.2026 Dynamo Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets 2:3 ✺
    28.01.2026 Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets 2:3 ✺
    26.01.2026 HC CSKA Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets 4:2 ✺
    21.01.2026 Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets 4:5
    19.01.2026 Dynamo Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets 5:4 ✺
    Latest results of Spartak Moscow
    30.01.2026 Spartak Moscow - SKA Saint Petersburg 4:0 ✺
    28.01.2026 Spartak Moscow - Lada Togliatti 6:2 ✺
    25.01.2026 Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2:3 ✺
    22.01.2026 SKA Saint Petersburg - Spartak Moscow 1:2 ✺
    20.01.2026 Shanghai Dragons - Spartak Moscow 1:3
    KHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl ✔ 653212516176:13093
    2Cherepovets ✔ 652811620191:17384
    3Dinamo Minsk ✔ 65325919234:16683
    4CSKA Moscow ✔ 65324821154:13980
    5Nizhny Novgorod ✔ 652610623181:17978
    6SKA St. Petersburg ✔ 64269722185:16377
    7Dynamo Moscow ✔ 642610523175:16077
    8Spartak Moscow ✔ 64295624196:19174
    9Shanghai641651231159:21654
    10Lada66163740150:23445
    11Sochi64162838134:22244


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Magnitogorsk ✔ 643611710243:170101
    2Avangard Omsk ✔ 653410516213:15393
    3Bars Kazan ✔ 64355816197:15888
    4Yekaterinburg ✔ 64318421195:14782
    5Salavat Ufa ✔ 64249526168:16471
    6Tractor Chelyabinsk ✔ 64254926193:19067
    7Niznekamsk ✔ 65248330161:18067
    8Novosibirsk641314829150:18962
    9Khabarovsk64214732149:17957
    10Barys Astana651651133149:19453
    11Vladivostok641341235147:20346

          Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lokomotiv Yaroslavl is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cherepovets is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Dinamo Minsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    CSKA Moscow is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Nizhny Novgorod is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    SKA St. Petersburg is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Dynamo Moscow is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Spartak Moscow is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Magnitogorsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Avangard Omsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bars Kazan is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Yekaterinburg is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Salavat Ufa is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Tractor Chelyabinsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Niznekamsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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