Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 21
  • Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMatch TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.091.74
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
73
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
55
Passes
75% (277/371)68% (244/357)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
2.091.74
xG on target (xGOT)
2.601.09
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
27
Blocked shots
15
Shots inside the box
88
Shots outside the box
27
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2137
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1216
Passes
75% (277/371)68% (244/357)
Long passes
39% (24/61)38% (25/66)
Passes in final third
51% (40/79)61% (81/132)
Crosses
33% (4/12)29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.32
Throw ins
2031
Fouls
1612
Tackles
65% (13/20)37% (7/19)
Duels won
5568
Clearances
5021
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
1.092.60
Goals prevented
0.091.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Navarro R. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Peque , Sanchez J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sow D. , Castrin ,
  • 56', 2 - 1, Adams A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 57', Navarro R. , Williams N. ,
  • 57', Izeta , Hierro A. ,
  • 57', Suazo G. , Oso ,
  • 62', Gudelj N. 🟨,
  • 72', Jauregizar M. , Vesga M. ,
  • 73', Gudelj N. , Bueno M. ,
  • 77', Sancet O. , Serrano N. ,
  • 81', Peque , Joan Jordan ,
  • 81', Romero I. , Ejuke C. ,
  • 86', Joan Jordan 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sevilla
36.1%
Draw
32.1%
Athletic Bilbao
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 30.3% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 31.3% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sevilla's performance.
  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (3.08)
    2.99
    (3.14)
    3.01
    (2.45)
    4.5%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). Athletic will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2%66.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Sevilla (1.81) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Sevilla (1.92) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Sevilla (2.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Athletic (votes: 4 - 25%). Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 0.
    • Sevilla is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Athletic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Sevilla: Azpilicueta C. (Calf Injury) Gonzalez A. (Muscle Injury) Januzaj A. (Muscle Injury) Mendy B. (Yellow Cards) Nianzou T. (Muscle Injury) Sanchez A. (Hip Injury) Vargas R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Guruzeta G. (Red Card) Lekue I. (Red Card) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Williams I. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla 3:2
    29.09.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla 1:1
    19.05.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla 2:0
    04.01.2024 Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao 0:2
    08.10.2022 Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    Latest results of Sevilla
    19.01.2026 Elche - Sevilla 2:2
    12.01.2026 Sevilla - Celta de Vigo 0:1
    04.01.2026 Sevilla - Levante 0:3
    20.12.2025 Real Madrid - Sevilla 2:0
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona26211471:264564
    2Real Madrid26193454:223260
    3Atl. Madrid26156543:232051
    4Villarreal26163748:311751
    5Betis261110542:321043
    6Celta Vigo261010636:28840
    7Espanyol261061033:39-636
    8Real Sociedad2698938:38035
    9Ath Bilbao261051130:36-635
    10Osasuna26961130:30033
    11Getafe26951221:29-832
    12Sevilla26861234:41-730
    13Girona26791027:42-1530
    14Valencia26781127:39-1229
    15Rayo Vallecano25691023:32-927
    16Alaves26761323:34-1127
    17Elche265111034:39-526
    18Mallorca26661429:42-1324
    19Levante26561528:44-1621
    20Oviedo25381416:40-2417

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2