Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga F Women - Round 5
- Referee: Gonzalez Z. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (315/386) | 66% (168/255) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (315/386) | 66% (168/255) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (32/53) | 32% (21/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (72/109) | 49% (49/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 73% (19/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.78 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', Martin-Pozuelo E. 🟨,
- 25', Morcillo R. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Nevado N. (Pen),
- 45+8', Valero M. 🟨,
- 45+9', 1 - 1, Alvarez I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Amezaga J. 🟨,
- 60', Redondo A. ↓, Hagel C. ↑,
- 60', Morcillo R. ↓, Kanteh Cham F. ↑,
- 62', Alvarez I. 🟨,
- 66', Valero M. ↓, Oguiza I. ↑,
- 76', Marques A. 🟥,
- 81', Zaldivar N. ↓, Vilarino M. ↑,
- 81', Azkona A. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
- 81', Gabarro I. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 85', Losada D. 🟨,
- 88', Alvarez A. ↓, Cerrato A. ↑,
- 90', Amezaga J. ↓, Sanadri ↑,
Chances of winning
Athletic Bilbao
50.1% | Draw
27.5% | Sevilla
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.69) |
3.34 ↓
(3.49) |
4.1 ↓
(4.38) |
8.8%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.
- Athletic has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Sevilla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Athletic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Athletic is a strong favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Sevilla?
Athletic Bilbao has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sevilla won against Athletic Bilbao?
Sevilla has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla were as follows:
15.03.2025
Athletic Bilbao
-
Sevilla
0:1
15.12.2024
Sevilla
-
Athletic Bilbao
2:5
16.06.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Sevilla
2:1
17.12.2023
Sevilla
-
Athletic Bilbao
1:1
24.03.2023
Athletic Bilbao
-
Sevilla
1:1
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
Latest results of Sevilla
