Result
11/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Sevilla
31.2% | Draw
30.5% | Atlético Madrid
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Sevilla - Atlético Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↓
(3.25) |
3.14 ↓
(3.48) |
2.5 ↑
(2.17) |
4.7%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sevilla - Atlético Madrid?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Atlético will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 21.7% – 78.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 1.
- Sevilla is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atlético has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:36. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sevilla won against Atlético Madrid?
Sevilla has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Sevilla?
Atlético Madrid has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sevilla - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
01.11.2025
Atlético Madrid
-
Sevilla
3:0
06.04.2025
Sevilla
-
Atlético Madrid
1:2
08.12.2024
Atlético Madrid
-
Sevilla
4:3
11.02.2024
Sevilla
-
Atlético Madrid
1:0
25.01.2024
Atlético Madrid
-
Sevilla
1:0
Latest results of Sevilla
Latest results of Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barcelona ✔ | 30 | 25 | 1 | 4 | 80:29 | 51 | 76 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 64:28 | 36 | 69 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 58 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Betis | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 44:37 | 7 | 45 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 44:37 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 46:45 | 1 | 41 |
| 8 | Getafe | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 27:31 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36:37 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Espanyol | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36:44 | -8 | 38 |
| 11 | Ath Bilbao | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 | Girona | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 32:44 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Valencia | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34:45 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | Alaves | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 32 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 36:48 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Sevilla | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37:50 | -13 | 31 |
| 18 | Elche | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 38:47 | -9 | 29 |
| 19 | Levante | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 21:48 | -27 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
