Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Sevilla - Atlético Madrid
Result
1:2
06/04/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 30
  • Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)
Sevilla - Atlético Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.32
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
84% (361/429)89% (474/535)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.191.63
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
1829
Through passes
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
84% (361/429)89% (474/535)
Long passes
45% (26/58)56% (29/52)
Passes in final third
64% (62/97)79% (109/138)
Crosses
27% (4/15)5% (1/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.550.31
Fouls
1412
Tackles
68% (15/22)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5750
Clearances Total
3929
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.631.19
Goals prevented
-0.370.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Agoume L. ⚽,
  • 11', Vargas R. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Alvarez J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Molina N. ↓, Galan J. ↑,
  • 46', Pedrosa A. ↓, Gudelj N. ↑,
  • 51', Simeone G. 🟨,
  • 55', Griezmann A. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
  • 56', Azpilicueta C. ↓, Koke ↑,
  • 57', Lenglet C. 🟨,
  • 68', Simeone G. ↓, Riquelme R. ↑,
  • 69', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
  • 69', Ejuke C. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
  • 78', Gallagher C. ↓, Lemar T. ↑,
  • 85', Le Normand R. 🟨,
  • 90', Agoume L. ↓, Idumbo S. ↑,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Barrios P. ⚽, Llorente M. (A),
  • 90+6', Salas K. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Sorloth A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4fy6uejt

Chances of winning


Sevilla
27.5%		Draw
29.7%		Atlético Madrid
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 29% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30% 28.1% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
    •

    Sevilla - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.49 ↑
    (3.3)    		 3.23 ↓
    (3.31)    		 2.25 ↓
    (2.29)    		 4.1%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
    •
    What is the prediction for Sevilla - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 8 - 14%). Atlético will win (votes: 44 - 77.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 66.3% – 88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Atlético (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 1.
    • Recent matches Sevilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Atlético has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Atlético could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Atlético will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sevilla: Nianzou T. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Correa A. (Suspended) Gimenez J. M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Sevilla: Sanchez J. (Injury) Suso (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23:36 (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sevilla - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Atlético Madrid - Sevilla 4:3
    11.02.2024 Sevilla - Atlético Madrid 1:0
    25.01.2024 Atlético Madrid - Sevilla 1:0
    23.12.2023 Atlético Madrid - Sevilla 1:0
    05.08.2023 Atlético Madrid - Sevilla 1:1
    Latest results of Sevilla
    30.03.2025 Betis - Sevilla 2:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Real Sociedad - Sevilla 0:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:1 ✺
    24.02.2025 Sevilla - Mallorca 1:1 ✺
    16.02.2025 Valladolid - Sevilla 0:4 ✺
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    02.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 0:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Espanyol - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺
    12.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Getafe - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona382846102:396388
    2Real Madrid38266678:384084
    3Atl. Madrid382210668:303876
    4Ath Bilbao381913654:292570
    5Villarreal382010871:512070
    6Betis3816121057:50760
    7Celta Vigo381671559:57255
    8Rayo Vallecano3813131241:45-452
    9Osasuna3812161048:52-452
    10Mallorca381391635:44-948
    11Real Sociedad381371835:46-1146
    12Valencia3811131444:54-1046
    13Getafe381191834:39-542
    14Espanyol381191840:51-1142
    15Alaves3810121638:48-1042
    16Girona381181944:60-1641
    17Sevilla3810111742:55-1341
    18Leganes389131639:56-1740
    19Las Palmas38882240:61-2132
    20Valladolid38443026:90-6416

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Sevilla - Atlético Madrid?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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