Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga
Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 31
  • Referee: Diaz I. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 2
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
boliviaBoliviaESPN
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Go, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 15, SCTV Online

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.780.79
Ball possession
32%68%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
22
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
66
Passes
72% (179/249)87% (484/557)
Yellow cards
44
Expected goals (xG)
1.780.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.220.90
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
47
Blocked shots
54
Shots inside the box
99
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
11
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3024
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free kicks
127
Passes
72% (179/249)87% (484/557)
Long passes
40% (24/60)40% (14/35)
Passes in final third
60% (56/93)66% (89/135)
Crosses
35% (7/20)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.98
Throw ins
1419
Fouls
712
Tackles
65% (11/17)50% (4/8)
Duels won
5534
Clearances
3227
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
10
xGOT faced
0.901.22
Goals prevented
-0.10-0.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Adams A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Bonar J. ⚽, Diaz J. (A),
  • 36', Bueno M. 🟨,
  • 44', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Gudelj N. ⚽, Vargas R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 67', Sanchez J. 🟨,
  • 70', Bueno M. ↓, Sow D. ↑,
  • 70', Romero I. ↓, Peque ↑,
  • 71', Belaid R. ↓, Lookman A. ↑,
  • 71', Mendoza R. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
  • 75', Baena A. 🟨,
  • 75', Griezmann A. 🟨,
  • 78', Vargas R. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
  • 86', Diaz J. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
  • 88', Gudelj N. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Adams A. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
  • 90+4', Sanchez J. ↓, Suazo G. ↑,
  • 90+5', Morcillo J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Peque 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sevilla
43.5%		Draw
26.8%		Atlético Madrid
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 27.2% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 27.4% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sevilla's performance.
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sevilla that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Sevilla - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.21 ↓
    (3.25)    		 3.57 ↑
    (3.48)    		 3.22 ↑
    (2.17)    		 4.3%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sevilla - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 18 - 38.3%). Atlético will win (votes: 20 - 42.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 19.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 28.5% – 56.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Atlético (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Sevilla (3.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Sevilla (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sevilla will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Atlético (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 1.
    • Recent form of Sevilla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Atlético's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Sevilla: Azpilicueta C. (Injury) Carmona J. A. (Yellow Cards) Marcao (Knee Injury) Nianzou T. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Barrios P. (Muscle Injury) Cardoso J. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Injury) Gonzalez N. (Red Card) Hancko D. (Injury) Koke (Yellow Cards) Oblak J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:36. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sevilla - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Atlético Madrid - Sevilla 3:0
    06.04.2025 Sevilla - Atlético Madrid 1:2
    08.12.2024 Atlético Madrid - Sevilla 4:3
    11.02.2024 Sevilla - Atlético Madrid 1:0
    25.01.2024 Atlético Madrid - Sevilla 1:0
    Latest results of Sevilla
    05.04.2026 Real Oviedo - Sevilla 1:0 ✺
    21.03.2026 Sevilla - Valencia 0:2 ✺
    15.03.2026 Barcelona - Sevilla 5:2 ✺
    08.03.2026 Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ✺
    01.03.2026 Betis - Sevilla 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    08.04.2026 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 0:2 ✺
    04.04.2026 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 1:2 ✺
    22.03.2026 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 3:2 ✺
    18.03.2026 Tottenham Hotspur - Atlético Madrid 3:2 ✺
    14.03.2026 Atlético Madrid - Getafe 1:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 33281487:305785
    2Real Madrid ✔ 33235568:313774
    3Villarreal33205859:382165
    4Atl. Madrid33186956:371960
    5Betis331214749:41850
    6Getafe331351528:34-644
    7Celta Vigo3311111145:43244
    8Real Sociedad3311101252:52043
    9Osasuna331191339:40-142
    10Ath Bilbao331251636:48-1241
    11Rayo Vallecano339121233:41-839
    12Valencia331091437:48-1139
    13Espanyol331091437:49-1239
    14Elche339111344:50-638
    15Girona339111336:50-1438
    16Alaves33991538:49-1136
    17Mallorca33981641:51-1035
    18Sevilla33971740:55-1534
    19Levante33891637:50-1333
    20Oviedo336101726:51-2528

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
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