Sevilla vs Barcelona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Sevilla - Barcelona
05/10/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Sevilla
19.2%
Draw
20.5%
Barcelona
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 18.4% 63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5% 17.6% 66.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sevilla - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.99
    (5.2)
    4.72
    (5.14)
    1.59
    (1.5)
    4.2%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Sevilla - Barcelona?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 65%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 0.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Barcelona is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 15:51. (average 0.8:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.9:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sevilla - Barcelona were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Sevilla - Barcelona 1:4
    20.10.2024 Barcelona - Sevilla 5:1
    26.05.2024 Sevilla - Barcelona 1:2
    29.09.2023 Barcelona - Sevilla 1:0
    05.02.2023 Barcelona - Sevilla 3:0
    Latest results of Sevilla
    28.09.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 0:1
    23.09.2025 Sevilla - Villarreal 1:2
    12.09.2025 Sevilla - Elche 2:2
    30.08.2025 Girona - Sevilla 0:2
    Latest results of Barcelona
    28.09.2025 Barcelona - Real Sociedad 2:1
    25.09.2025 Real Oviedo - Barcelona 1:3
    21.09.2025 Barcelona - Getafe 3:0
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona761021:51619
    2Real Madrid760116:8818
    3Villarreal751113:5816
    4Elche734010:6413
    5Atl. Madrid733114:9512
    6Betis733111:7412
    7Espanyol733110:9112
    8Getafe83239:11-211
    9Sevilla731311:10110
    10Ath Bilbao73137:8-110
    11Osasuna83147:8-110
    12Alaves72236:7-18
    13Valencia72239:12-38
    14R. Oviedo72054:12-86
    15Levante712411:14-35
    16Rayo Vallecano71247:10-35
    17Celta Vigo70526:9-35
    18Real Sociedad71247:11-45
    19Mallorca71246:11-55
    20Girona70343:16-133

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2