Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla
Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
angolaAngolaZ Sports La Liga
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainM+ LaLiga
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.63
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
124
Passes
83% (403/483)69% (191/276)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.97
Total shots
184
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
2514
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
83% (403/483)69% (191/276)
Long passes
53% (31/59)36% (22/61)
Passes in final third
66% (83/125)49% (34/70)
Crosses
18% (6/34)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.41
Throw-ins
2521
Fouls
1215
Tackles
50% (7/14)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4639
Clearances
2235
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.971.33
Goals prevented
-0.031.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Lejeune F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Carmona J. A. 🟨,
  • 67', Diaz P. , Lopez U. ,
  • 67', de Frutos J. , Perez F. ,
  • 69', Vargas R. , Januzaj A. ,
  • 69', Romero I. , Adams A. ,
  • 77', Cardoso F. , Martinez R. ,
  • 77', Agoume L. , Sow D. ,
  • 78', Palazon I. , Trejo O. ,
  • 78', Alemao , Camello S. ,
  • 82', Trejo O. 🟨,
  • 87', 0 - 1, Adams A. , Carmona J. A. (A),
  • 90+2', Camello S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Valentin O. , Becerra S. ,
  • 90+3', Sanchez A. , Peque ,
  • 90+5', Peque 🟨,
  • 90+8', Camello S. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
44.8%
Draw
28.9%
Sevilla
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 30.2% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 30.1% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rayo Vallecano's performance.
  • Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Vallecano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.5)
    3.33
    (3.21)
    3.67
    (3.11)
    3.8%
    (3.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (66 of 81 users predict this - 81.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.02%89.94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rayo Vallecano will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rayo Vallecano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe (Muscle Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sevilla: Gonzalez A. (Ankle Injury) Nianzou T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Nteka R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sevilla: Joan Jordan (Back Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:40. (average 0.8:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:1
    24.11.2024 Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano 1:0
    05.02.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:2
    07.10.2023 Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano 2:2
    19.02.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:1
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Latest results of Sevilla
    23.09.2025 Sevilla - Villarreal 1:2
    12.09.2025 Sevilla - Elche 2:2
    30.08.2025 Girona - Sevilla 0:2
    25.08.2025 Sevilla - Getafe 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona761021:51619
    2Real Madrid760116:8818
    3Villarreal751113:5816
    4Elche734010:6413
    5Atl. Madrid733114:9512
    6Betis733111:7412
    7Espanyol733110:9112
    8Getafe83239:11-211
    9Sevilla731311:10110
    10Ath Bilbao73137:8-110
    11Osasuna83147:8-110
    12Alaves72236:7-18
    13Valencia72239:12-38
    14R. Oviedo72054:12-86
    15Levante712411:14-35
    16Rayo Vallecano71247:10-35
    17Celta Vigo70526:9-35
    18Real Sociedad71247:11-45
    19Mallorca71246:11-55
    20Girona70343:16-133

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2