Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
angolaAngolaZ Sports La Liga
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainM+ LaLiga
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.63
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
124
Passes
83% (403/483)69% (191/276)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.97
Total shots
184
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
2514
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
83% (403/483)69% (191/276)
Long passes
53% (31/59)36% (22/61)
Passes in final third
66% (83/125)49% (34/70)
Crosses
18% (6/34)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.41
Throw-ins
2521
Fouls
1215
Tackles
50% (7/14)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4639
Clearances
2235
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.971.33
Goals prevented
-0.031.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Lejeune F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Carmona J. A. 🟨,
  • 67', Diaz P. , Lopez U. ,
  • 67', de Frutos J. , Perez F. ,
  • 69', Vargas R. , Januzaj A. ,
  • 69', Romero I. , Adams A. ,
  • 77', Cardoso F. , Martinez R. ,
  • 77', Agoume L. , Sow D. ,
  • 78', Palazon I. , Trejo O. ,
  • 78', Alemao , Camello S. ,
  • 82', Trejo O. 🟨,
  • 87', 0 - 1, Adams A. , Carmona J. A. (A),
  • 90+2', Camello S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Valentin O. , Becerra S. ,
  • 90+3', Sanchez A. , Peque ,
  • 90+5', Peque 🟨,
  • 90+8', Camello S. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
44.8%
Draw
28.9%
Sevilla
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 30.2% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 30.1% 31.2%

Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.15
(2.5)
3.33
(3.21)
3.67
(3.11)
3.8%
(3.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Rayo Vallecano (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (66 of 81 users predict this - 81.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.02%89.94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rayo Vallecano will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 20 - 83.3%). Sevilla (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rayo Vallecano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe (Muscle Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sevilla: Gonzalez A. (Ankle Injury) Nianzou T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Nteka R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sevilla: Joan Jordan (Back Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:40. (average 0.8:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:1
    24.11.2024 Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano 1:0
    05.02.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:2
    07.10.2023 Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano 2:2
    19.02.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:1
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Latest results of Sevilla
    23.09.2025 Sevilla - Villarreal 1:2
    12.09.2025 Sevilla - Elche 2:2
    30.08.2025 Girona - Sevilla 0:2
    25.08.2025 Sevilla - Getafe 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona20161354:223249
    2Real Madrid20153243:172648
    3Villarreal19132437:191841
    4Atl. Madrid20125335:171841
    5Espanyol20104623:22134
    6Betis2088433:25832
    7Celta Vigo2088428:20832
    8Elche2059627:26124
    9Real Sociedad2066826:28-224
    10Ath Bilbao20731019:28-924
    11Girona2066820:34-1424
    12Osasuna20641021:24-322
    13Rayo Vallecano2057816:25-922
    14Sevilla20631126:32-621
    15Mallorca2056924:30-621
    16Getafe20631115:26-1121
    17Valencia2048819:31-1220
    18Alaves20541116:25-919
    19Levante19351121:32-1114
    20Oviedo20271111:31-2013

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2