Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3 |
Angola | Z Sports La Liga |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Armenia | Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN |
Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Bangladesh | Begin |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Cameroon | CRTV Sports |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, TSN+ |
China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | ESPN 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | Nova Sports 1 |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
Hungary | Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan, U-NEXT |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 4 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
New-zealand | beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2 |
Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
South-africa | SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
Spain | M+ LaLiga |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | K+, SCTV 15 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.93 | 0.63 |
Ball Possession |
---|
64% | 36% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
83% (403/483) | 69% (191/276) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.93 | 0.63 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.33 | 0.97 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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12 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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25 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
83% (403/483) | 69% (191/276) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (31/59) | 36% (22/61) |
Passes in final third |
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66% (83/125) | 49% (34/70) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (6/34) | 0% (0/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.19 | 0.41 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (7/14) | 60% (9/15) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 39 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.97 | 1.33 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.03 | 1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Lejeune F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Carmona J. A. 🟨,
- 67', Diaz P. ↓, Lopez U. ↑,
- 67', de Frutos J. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
- 69', Vargas R. ↓, Januzaj A. ↑,
- 69', Romero I. ↓, Adams A. ↑,
- 77', Cardoso F. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
- 77', Agoume L. ↓, Sow D. ↑,
- 78', Palazon I. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,
- 78', Alemao ↓, Camello S. ↑,
- 82', Trejo O. 🟨,
- 87', 0 - 1, Adams A. ⚽, Carmona J. A. (A),
- 90+2', Camello S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Valentin O. ↓, Becerra S. ↑,
- 90+3', Sanchez A. ↓, Peque ↑,
- 90+5', Peque 🟨,
- 90+8', Camello S. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Rayo Vallecano 44.8% | Draw 28.9% | Sevilla 26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rayo Vallecano's performance.Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Vallecano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+5%)
Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.15 ↓ (2.5) |
3.33 ↑ (3.21) |
3.67 ↑ (3.11) |
3.8% (3.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Rayo Vallecano will win
(66 of 81 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.02% – 89.94%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rayo Vallecano will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Rayo Vallecano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe
(Muscle Injury)
Mumin A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sevilla: Gonzalez A.
(Ankle Injury)
Nianzou T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Nteka R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sevilla: Joan Jordan
(Back Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:40. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Sevilla?
Rayo Vallecano has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sevilla won against Rayo Vallecano?
Sevilla has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla were as follows:
01.03.2025
Rayo Vallecano
-
Sevilla
1:1
24.11.2024
Sevilla
-
Rayo Vallecano
1:0
05.02.2024
Rayo Vallecano
-
Sevilla
1:2
07.10.2023
Sevilla
-
Rayo Vallecano
2:2
19.02.2023
Rayo Vallecano
-
Sevilla
1:1
Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
Latest results of Sevilla
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Barcelona | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21:5 | 16 | 19 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Villarreal | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
4 | Elche | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Atl. Madrid | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Betis | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 12 |
7 | Espanyol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
8 | Getafe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
9 | Sevilla | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
10 | Ath Bilbao | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
11 | Osasuna | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Alaves | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
13 | Valencia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
14 | R. Oviedo | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
15 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
18 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
19 | Mallorca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 5 |
20 | Girona | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:16 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2