Hamburger SV vs SGS Essen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga Women - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.530.96
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
73
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
65
Passes
74% (264/357)69% (251/366)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
1.530.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.170.55
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
25
Shots inside the box
58
Shots outside the box
113
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2218
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
2010
Passes
74% (264/357)69% (251/366)
Long passes
48% (24/50)44% (27/61)
Passes in final third
64% (72/112)56% (44/78)
Crosses
10% (2/20)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.95
Throw ins
2823
Fouls
1020
Tackles
79% (11/14)80% (16/20)
Duels won
5048
Clearances
2234
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
0.551.17
Goals prevented
-0.45-0.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Bartz P. , Linberg C. ,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Hillebrand S. ,
  • 53', Flach P. 🟨,
  • 60', Van Belle S. , Kowalski N. ,
  • 62', Maier R. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Platner P. , Kowalski N. (A),
  • 72', Berentzen M. , Kopp L. ,
  • 80', Machtens P. , Buchele M. ,
  • 80', Doucoure M. , Sliskovic G. ,
  • 84', Ostermeier L. , Pucks L. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Hillebrand S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+5', Meissner J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
33.8%
Draw
26.1%
SGS Essen
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 27.5% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • SGS Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Hamburger SV - SGS Essen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.91)
    3.53
    (3.32)
    2.3
    (2.22)
    8.5%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - SGS Essen?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.25 - SGS Essen (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SGS Essen (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women and 12).
    • SGS Essen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - SGS Essen were as follows:
    13.09.2025 SGS Essen - Hamburger SV 0:0
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    Latest results of SGS Essen
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W21201081:67561
    2Wolfsburg W21153361:303148
    3Eintracht Frankfurt W22133654:371742
    4Hoffenheim W22122839:271238
    5Bayer Leverkusen W22121934:31337
    6Werder Bremen W20105531:29235
    7Freiburg W22931035:36-130
    8Koln W22841026:30-428
    9Union Berlin W2276937:42-527
    10RB Leipzig W22751035:41-626
    111.FC Nurnberg W22541328:53-2519
    12Hamburger SV W22361324:53-2915
    13SGS Essen W22261417:52-3512
    14Jena W22251518:53-3511

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women