SGS Essen vs TSG Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Women SGS Essen - TSG Hoffenheim
Result
0:1
17/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga Women - Round 7
  • Referee: Hussein R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
usaUsaDAZN USA
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.95
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
71% (222/314)81% (364/447)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.710.62
Total shots
810
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1720
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
71% (222/314)81% (364/447)
Long passes
35% (20/57)50% (21/42)
Passes in final third
54% (44/81)54% (56/103)
Crosses
20% (4/20)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.85
Throw-ins
2829
Fouls
1416
Tackles
89% (16/18)78% (14/18)
Duels won
3947
Clearances
1826
Interceptions
1611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.620.71
Goals prevented
-0.380.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Cerci S. ,
  • 12', Doorn L. 🟨,
  • 31', Harsch F. 🟨,
  • 38', Platner P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Steiner M. , Natter L. ,
  • 66', Gloning L. , Douma W. ,
  • 66', Van Belle S. , Kopp L. ,
  • 73', Platner P. , Pucks L. ,
  • 76', Ampoorter V. , Grimm J. ,
  • 76', Kaut L. , Rankin J. ,
  • 83', Maier R. , Minne L. ,
  • 83', Elmazi L. , Berentzen M. ,
  • 88', Berentzen M. 🟨,
  • 90', Harsch F. , Sinka N. ,

Chances of winning


SGS Essen
15.8%
Draw
22.1%
TSG Hoffenheim
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.6% 22.8% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18% 22.1% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SGS Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • TSG Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SGS Essen than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSG Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • SGS Essen - TSG Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.83
    (4.86)
    4.17
    (3.97)
    1.48
    (1.54)
    8.6%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for SGS Essen - TSG Hoffenheim?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SGS Essen won 2.
    • SGS Essen is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Hoffenheim has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Hoffenheim is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SGS Essen won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:38. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SGS Essen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SGS Essen - TSG Hoffenheim were as follows:
    15.12.2024 TSG Hoffenheim - SGS Essen 1:0
    01.09.2024 SGS Essen - TSG Hoffenheim 1:2
    20.04.2024 SGS Essen - TSG Hoffenheim 2:1
    17.11.2023 TSG Hoffenheim - SGS Essen 0:3
    26.03.2023 TSG Hoffenheim - SGS Essen 2:0
    Latest results of SGS Essen
    10.10.2025 RB Leipzig - SGS Essen 2:1
    04.10.2025 SGS Essen - Wolfsburg 0:8
    24.09.2025 SGS Essen - Köln 1:2
    20.09.2025 Union Berlin - SGS Essen 2:0
    13.09.2025 SGS Essen - Hamburger SV 0:0
    Latest results of TSG Hoffenheim
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W761021:21919
    2Wolfsburg W751126:111516
    3Hoffenheim W741214:7713
    4Freiburg W741216:12413
    5Bayer Leverkusen W741211:12-113
    6Eintracht Frankfurt W740317:12512
    7Union Berlin W731313:10310
    8Werder Bremen W731311:13-210
    91.FC Nurnberg W723210:12-29
    10Koln W72148:14-67
    11RB Leipzig W72148:15-77
    12Hamburger SV W71338:16-86
    13Jena W70257:16-92
    14SGS Essen W70162:20-181

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women