SGS Essen vs TSG Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Women
Result
0:1
17/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga Women - Round 7
  • Referee: Hussein R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
usaUsaDAZN USA
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.95
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
71% (222/314)81% (364/447)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.710.62
Total shots
810
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1720
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
71% (222/314)81% (364/447)
Long passes
35% (20/57)50% (21/42)
Passes in final third
54% (44/81)54% (56/103)
Crosses
20% (4/20)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.85
Throw-ins
2829
Fouls
1416
Tackles
89% (16/18)78% (14/18)
Duels won
3947
Clearances
1826
Interceptions
1611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.620.71
Goals prevented
-0.380.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Cerci S. ⚽,
  • 12', Doorn L. 🟨,
  • 31', Harsch F. 🟨,
  • 38', Platner P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Steiner M. ↓, Natter L. ↑,
  • 66', Gloning L. ↓, Douma W. ↑,
  • 66', Van Belle S. ↓, Kopp L. ↑,
  • 73', Platner P. ↓, Pucks L. ↑,
  • 76', Ampoorter V. ↓, Grimm J. ↑,
  • 76', Kaut L. ↓, Rankin J. ↑,
  • 83', Maier R. ↓, Minne L. ↑,
  • 83', Elmazi L. ↓, Berentzen M. ↑,
  • 88', Berentzen M. 🟨,
  • 90', Harsch F. ↓, Sinka N. ↑,

Chances of winning


SGS Essen
15.8%		Draw
22.1%		TSG Hoffenheim
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.6% 22.8% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18% 22.1% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SGS Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • TSG Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SGS Essen than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSG Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
    •

    SGS Essen - TSG Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.83 ↑
    (4.86)    		 4.17 ↑
    (3.97)    		 1.48 ↓
    (1.54)    		 8.6%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for SGS Essen - TSG Hoffenheim?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Hoffenheim (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SGS Essen won 2.
    • SGS Essen is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Hoffenheim has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Hoffenheim is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SGS Essen won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:38. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SGS Essen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SGS Essen - TSG Hoffenheim were as follows:
    15.12.2024 TSG Hoffenheim - SGS Essen 1:0
    01.09.2024 SGS Essen - TSG Hoffenheim 1:2
    20.04.2024 SGS Essen - TSG Hoffenheim 2:1
    17.11.2023 TSG Hoffenheim - SGS Essen 0:3
    26.03.2023 TSG Hoffenheim - SGS Essen 2:0
    Latest results of SGS Essen
    10.10.2025 RB Leipzig - SGS Essen 2:1 ✺
    04.10.2025 SGS Essen - Wolfsburg 0:8
    24.09.2025 SGS Essen - Köln 1:2
    20.09.2025 Union Berlin - SGS Essen 2:0
    13.09.2025 SGS Essen - Hamburger SV 0:0
    Latest results of TSG Hoffenheim
    12.10.2025 TSG Hoffenheim - Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0:2
    06.10.2025 Hamburger SV - TSG Hoffenheim 1:4
    24.09.2025 TSG Hoffenheim - Nürnberg 1:1
    21.09.2025 Werder Bremen - TSG Hoffenheim 2:1
    14.09.2025 TSG Hoffenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt 3:0
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W18171071:66552
    2Wolfsburg W17122353:262738
    3Eintracht Frankfurt W18103544:311333
    4Hoffenheim W18102633:231032
    5Bayer Leverkusen W19101829:28131
    6Werder Bremen W1785424:22229
    7Freiburg W1983832:31127
    8Koln W1974823:24-125
    9Union Berlin W1964928:36-822
    10RB Leipzig W19631030:38-821
    111.FC Nurnberg W19541026:47-2119
    12Hamburger SV W19351121:45-2414
    13SGS Essen W19261116:41-2512
    14Jena W18231316:48-329

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women

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